Talking points: The Papa still searching for an offensive coordinator at Tennessee edition
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Once a math geek,
I took a peek at Connelly's page, and it's an interesting concept. Intuitively, it makes sense; the closer you are to the opponent's end zone, the more valuable each yard is, for two reasons. First, it's a bigger percentage of the remaining yards. Second, the odds of scoring improve with each yard gained. Notice the suddenly increasing upward trend on 3rd down within the opponent's 40 - every yard gained makes a field goal that much easier to obtain. The trend even levels off a bit once the point value gets close to 3 - eventually, there's not a statistical advantage to gaining more yards when attempting field goals, especially with the really wide splits that college uses.
My big question is whether field position is memoryless. (For example, if you start from your own 20 and make it to first down the opponents' 40, do you have the same PPP as if you started with first down from the 40.) The answer may have impact on how valuable special teams are. If it adds value to special teams, could we finally get a special teams coach?
Other than that: woo Berry, woo Drayton, and woo Watson!
Dale Jones
by Smitty @ Rocky Top Talk on Jan 9, 2008 12:07 PM EST reply actions
Trooper
Regardless, it's been said before a thousand times...Coach Taylor, you are a class-act and you will be missed!
Interesting
Who knows?
by Joel Hollingsworth on Jan 9, 2008 2:28 PM EST up reply actions

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