Tennessee - Georgia: A Brief Look at the Numbers
I'll spoil the ending of the story for you early; the numbers don't make the Georgia game feel much better. It still hurts, and it's not a pretty sight. Still, there are some things to see in the pretty charts and graphs, so here we go.
First up, let's take a look at the basic box score numbers in comparison to the rest of the season. Remember, pink is bad. Prepare for bad.
Quick notes:
- Completion Percentage! Aagh! Ok, so UT's passing game was better than their running game against Georgia. When you rush for 1 net yard, that's not exactly hard to do. But the reality is that the 43.3% completion rate is second-worst on the season - barely beating out the UCLA game. More on that in a bit.
- QB Rating - Not So Shabby! With such a low completion percentage, this number is pretty decent. The reason for this pleasant surprise is that Stephens has still not thrown an INT. Digest that.
- Running Game! Running Game! Wherefore Art Thou, Running Game? The more I look at the numbers, the more I believe the Georgia linemen when they say they read our offense. (That's the difference in film study between the majors and 1-AA, Clawson. Remember that.) You'll see this later on, too.
- Wheee! Pass-Whacky! 2:1 Pass-Run Ratio. Not exactly Clawson-esque. Chalk that up to the second-half desperation, where the running game nearly disappeared. You can blame the clock rules for that. Well, that and the multi-score deficit. That didn't help much, either.

Let's dig a little deeper into the offense now:
- Three sacks, no INTs, no hurries*, again. The (*) is on account of the data source; NCAA.com has still not updated the game data, so I don't have the hurry data for this one. However, the three sacks all came early in the game, suggesting to me that Stephens quickly learned to get rid of the ball. But hey, no INTS is still good. Even when Stephens forced the ball, his velocity made it hard to intercept. A bonus for us.
- Wide receivers must love this guy. Stephens is more WR-dependent than Crompton was. I think it's largely due to his love of the deep ball. That's fine, so long as the protection holds. Once Stephens discovers the tight ends in the middle of the field, however, the passing game will likely take off.
- Go long, baby! Even with only 13 completions, this was the second-best weekend in terms of overall passing yardage. The kid's got a 300-yard game in him. I just know it.
- The RBs don't get many throws from Stephens, but perhaps they should. I don't know this for sure, but I think Clawson is keeping the RBs in for protection. If Stephens is getting the ball out quicker, Clawson should consider throwing to the RBs more. They can catch, even if it's not for long gains.
- The WRs don't catch enough. All of them hover near 50%, which is partly a function of Crompton's "horseshoes-and-handgrenades" approach to passing. But this weekend didn't help much. Some quick completion rates:
- Gerald Jones: 4 / 6
- Lucas Taylor: 4 / 8
- Denarius Moore: 1 / 5 (!!!)
- Josh Briscoe: 0 / 1
- Austin Rogers: 0 / 1
- 50% on the year won't work. This counts sacks, but that's still a lost pass and it's still too low.
And now for the through-game passing trend:
This neatly divides into 3 acts of 10 pass attempts each:
- Act I: Hey! These Guys Are Fast! In the first 10 attempts, Nick Stephens learns that the UGA pass rush is faster than the UNI pass rush. Fortunately, the lesson is learned and no more sacks occur.
- Act II: Yeah, I Can Throw Against UGA! Despite zero rushing attack, Stephens manages a respectable slightly-above-50% rate throughout the next 10 passes with no consecutive incompletions.
- Act III: Ummm..Not So Easy When It's Pass-Whacky! Once UT was in desperation mode, UGA settled back into a full pass defense. From here onward, completions became rather scarce (as did UT's hopes).
- Curtain Call: No INTS! So woo! for that.
If you want to compare the UGA game to others, here is the link. There's not a whole lot to say, so I didn't reproduce the old graphs here.
Now for the charts!
I'll tackle these from the top down (FYI, the red line indicates a QB change):
- UT continues to hemorrhage offensive plays. Seriously, how far can the bleeding continue? Between the tipped-off running game of no account and the 3rd-down-ole defense, UT's offense was practically absent.
- Trend Broken! We now no longer show a trend of decreasing pass calls - a trend that initially had us throwing zero passes against Alabama. Sure, it was desperation, but at least we seem to have found a lower bound on the pass-run ratio.
- Again, not a shabby QB Rating. Keep in mind that in the NCAAs, a 120 QB rating is not exactly All-American. But it's better than the abyss we found ourselves in before. Considering that this was Nick's second start (and that against UGA), this is quite acceptable.
- We need to average at least 5.5 yards per play to be competitive. That disappearing act of a running game held the average down, obviously. But if the offense can ever get both the pass game and the run game within the realm of functional, most of the offensive woes will vanish. 5.5 ypp (yards per play) isn't a whole lot, especially if the passing game can stay above 7 ypp.
- What a wild, erratic offense. The last chart in particular is an exercise in randomness. Stay tuned for more on that.
The worst for last!
Wanna see something freaky? Watch what happens when you take out the best rush that UT had on Saturday:
Normally, this trick gives a better feel of the average rush by eliminating a strong influential rush that's exceedingly long. Even though UT's longest rush was 7 yards (woo for Hardesty), removing it drops UT's rush average to negative yardage. I never thought I'd see the day when removing a sack would be more appropriate than removing a rush.
FIN
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Comments
Good stuff, hooper
So what you’re saying, doc, is that we’re very, very sick?
Go Vols!
by Joel on Oct 14, 2008 8:01 AM CDT 0 recs
Yes, but this is the time for patience.
The O has undergone surgery, and hasn’t fully healed yet after the QB-replacement procedure. We’ll have to give another week to tell how things are going, and we just have to hope that some coach-resistant infection doesn’t set in.
I’m slowly becoming convinced that a reboot of the offense is already underway.
by hooper on
Oct 14, 2008 9:27 AM CDT
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0 recs
By my calculations
Stephens was 3/11 in UT’s last two drives which would at least put him over .500 until those two drives.
Deferring is for p_ssies. Make a decision!
by wvvol on Oct 14, 2008 8:27 AM CDT 0 recs
That's about right.
And Stephens did not throw 2 incompletions in a row until that final slide, starting around pass # 22 or so. At that point, UT was down 2 scores with a defense incapable of getting a 3-and-out and the new clock rules guaranteeing only 1 or 2 more drives. It was extraordinarily pass-heavy at that point, and UGA knew it.
If Stephens had had more practice time with the 1st-team offense, he might have been able to be more creative in the passing game and find the TEs and RBs for 1st downs. I don’t know the honest answer to that, but it makes a lot of sense to me.
by hooper on
Oct 14, 2008 9:31 AM CDT
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The Offense
The offense is not lacking in scheme or personnel. Quit simply, the offense lacks spirit. Its like they are playing not ot get hurt. Somebody needs to light a fire under a few butts. Rev. Orange
Vinnie Testaverde is always remembered for Tennessee kicking his ass.
by RevOrange on Oct 14, 2008 11:39 AM CDT 0 recs
Really
We tried to establish the run. We had 1 yard on 15 carries. We tried, we failed. Both our TDs were passes and were set up by big plays in the passing game.
by bobo_the_vol on Oct 14, 2008 1:59 PM CDT 0 recs
I agree
If UGA had our rush offense keyed, no number of rushes would have succeeded. The failure was being predictable, and that is squarely on the shoulders of the coaches.
by hooper on
Oct 14, 2008 2:41 PM CDT
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Your TDs were set up by momentum swings from UGA Ints
If our red zone play calling wasn’t horrendus, the score would have been more like 42-7. This is not to rub any salt on your wounds, I know that it is difficult to watch your once elite program suffer a year like this (we had the Goff/Donnan years). I am just saying that we in Athens are equally displeased in our own teams performance given the opportunities present. Also, Stephens seems to be tough, a quick learner, and throws a nice deep ball. You should be fine down the road. Har far down the road? All I can say is that I was at the UGA/AU game in 2006, after we had lost to UK and Vandy, and that was the point that Stafford finally arrived, beating the #5 team in the country. Be Optimistic!
by dawgdayafternoon on Oct 15, 2008 10:21 AM CDT 0 recs
Always feel free to opine.
Outside perspectives are valuable things. You’re right; we did benefit from INTs. If you look at things like ToP, yardage, and the game action itself, you realize that the score is not at all indicative of the action of the game. But in a sense, that’s actually better than earlier. We lost to UCLA when, in the first half alone, UT had 4 INTs for only one touchdown but UCLA got a touchdown off 1 blocked punt. At least UT took more advantage of the (few) breaks against UGA.
Speaking of UGA — your team is doing remarkably well overcoming the injury problems. Kudos to them!
Stephens == new man-crush for UT fans.
by hooper on
Oct 15, 2008 10:35 AM CDT
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Our O-line Coach is Great.
Two years in a row having to motivate a young patchwork line, and getting results. Our depth has helped with the injury issues, but I don’t think that we can surround another round of Duck-Duck-Goose on the O-line. Depth seems to be helping you guys out as well, at least with the QB position. By the way, what happened with Crompton? He was a Parade All-American,enjoyed 2 years under Ainge to watch & learn the position, received the benefit of a Div 1A QB coach, + film study, + pretty talented, & HEALTHY O-line? What gives? The SEC as a whole, and the eastern division particulary, is much better when you guys only lose once a year (guess to whom I refer).
by dawgdayafternoon on Oct 15, 2008 4:50 PM CDT 0 recs
Great O-line coach, eh?
….so….
…
…
..he wouldn’t happen to be interested in head coaching, would he?
Just asking. No reason, really. ;-)
by hooper on Oct 15, 2008 5:36 PM CDT 0 recs
As far as Crompton goes:
We don’t know what happened to him.
All reports say that he was lights-out during practices and scrimmages. Problem was, he was the other kind of lights-out during games. His mechanics would go completely out of the window. I don’t mean this in the sense of placing the burden of the season on Cropmton, but if he had been decent this year, UT would likely have won UCLA and Auburn, and UT would have been competitive vs. Florida and UGA. In fact, we probably wouldn’t have any kind of coaching controversy in that case.
Again, there are problems besides Crompton, so that’s not meant to place undue blame on him. But it’s one of those straw-and-camel-back things.
by hooper on Oct 15, 2008 5:40 PM CDT 0 recs











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