The RTT computer BlogPoll ballot: raw numbers, week fourteen

by Joel on Nov 30, 2008 7:32 AM EST in College Football Comment 5 comments

See the prior week for the tweakage history of this thing.

The Top 35 for week fourteen, according to the Rocky Top Talk computer poll, is immediately after the jump because the table doesn't fit on the front page.

[Note by Joel, 12/01/08 9:18 AM EST ] Oops. Spreadsheet here.

Rank	Team	WL	SOS	PED	RD	3DO	TD	PEO	EXP	OPPG	TO	3DD	AVG R	W AVG
1	Florida	5	6	2	12	14	7	5	116	4	17	15	18.45	64.46
2	Alabama	1	25	5	2	37	3	52	95	3	53	1	25.18	67.60
3	Oklahoma	5	1	38	18	11	66	2	59	60	3	12	25.00	72.68
4	Texas	5	4	58	2	2	50	3	116	21	9	30	27.27	83.32
5	Texas Tech	5	8	67	47	4	71	10	68	69	4	56	37.18	94.71
6	Penn St.	5	56	6	9	6	5	19	38	6	15	13	16.18	113.13
7	Ohio St.	11	29	13	20	32	9	27	59	7	79	33	29.00	119.89
8	Southern California	10	53	1	6	26	1	12	72	1	16	3	18.27	136.26
9	Utah	1	78	22	14	23	18	16	14	13	31	11	21.91	145.11
10	Boise St.	1	79	3	15	25	15	9	114	4	12	14	26.45	151.33
11	Cincinnati	11	52	28	17	100	24	26	59	25	45	7	35.82	156.69
12	Georgia	16	2	55	42	40	27	15	90	65	21	46	38.09	162.66
13	TCU	11	72	4	1	8	2	47	26	2	29	5	18.82	166.58
14	Oklahoma St.	16	11	78	30	17	85	4	45	72	7	66	39.18	170.49
15	Missouri	16	17	80	24	5	91	7	32	58	6	89	38.64	172.16
16	Georgia Tech	16	40	39	22	68	22	78	109	22	46	57	47.18	180.83
17	Boston College	16	44	9	7	82	8	102	68	14	94	20	42.18	182.89
18	Michigan St.	16	45	31	72	93	62	81	68	41	67	77	59.36	195.38
19	Northwestern	16	65	32	38	22	53	83	59	24	63	26	43.73	199.17
20	Oregon	16	62	56	24	59	79	57	38	79	8	70	49.82	202.25
21	BYU	11	96	57	64	3	57	13	49	31	18	98	45.18	215.16
22	Ball St.	1	115	23	67	7	58	6	53	10	13	79	39.27	219.08
23	Western Mich.	16	88	62	58	33	83	18	14	53	26	68	47.18	232.30
24	Mississippi	27	9	43	5	39	16	24	26	15	38	10	22.91	250.46
25	Florida St.	27	24	26	36	28	13	91	53	30	55	2	35.00	256.72
26	Oregon St.	27	36	45	48	44	33	29	12	62	27	16	34.45	262.14
27	Nebraska	27	13	90	33	15	67	14	32	82	11	33	37.91	262.53
28	Pittsburgh	26	37	75	23	73	30	75	77	57	56	55	53.09	263.02
29	Tulsa	11	119	112	43	1	94	1	49	83	1	73	53.36	263.99
30	North Carolina	27	42	27	56	35	62	36	72	28	96	78	50.82	266.89
31	Iowa	27	51	8	10	63	12	44	53	8	50	25	31.91	267.31
32	Virginia Tech	27	39	42	19	78	6	97	105	16	103	18	50.00	269.99
33	Rice	16	107	96	102	12	114	8	32	107	10	107	64.64	275.14
34	Air Force	27	70	54	54	42	47	31	7	33	70	86	47.36	286.04
35	Central Mich.	27	87	105	52	13	104	17	95	91	25	93	64.45	315.16

Candidates for human override:

Possibly out of order

Florida and Alabama
Any of the Oklahoma, Texas, and Texas Tech series
Georgia and Georgia Tech

Possibly too high

Florida
Georgia
Georgia Tech
Boston College

Possibly too low

Oklahoma
Southern Cal
Utah
Boise State

Any others that you see?

Current draft ballot, without any interventions yet:

Rank	Team	Delta

1	Florida	1
2	Alabama	1
3	Oklahoma	--
4	Texas	--
5	Texas Tech	--
6	Penn State	--
7	Ohio State	--
8	Southern Cal	--
9	Utah	1
10	Boise State	5
11	Cincinnati	3
12	Georgia	3
13	TCU	--
14	Oklahoma State	3
15	Missouri	3
16	Georgia Tech	6
17	Boston College	6
18	Michigan State	2
19	Northwestern	2
20	Oregon	4
21	Brigham Young	4
22	Ball State	3
23	Western Michigan	2
24	Mississippi	2
25	Florida State	9

Dropped Out: Oregon State (#18).

We'll use up to two vetoes of the computer rankings. Now soliciting suggestions.

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Comments

Spreadsheet?

I’d like to tweak a number or two to see how the upcoming games might affect things. (I’m looking at you, USC!)

But…

USC: Again, if they win, that 10 will become a 5 (or whatever that number is by then). That’ll bump them up naturally, even with the reduced SoS that UCLA [sniff] will provide.

Cincinnati: Even though the Big East doesn’t have a champ game, they’re getting 13 due to the Hawaii travel bonus. Big East champs, ur doin it right!

The top mess: I think it’s fine for now. Naturally, you’d like to have undefeated on top, but it’s not unreasonable to have that order either. Once next week plays out, that will probably sort itself quite nicely.

If I had veto power, I’d shift OSU and PSU down. Then again, I am a softie for the mid-majors. Utah and BSU did well in scheduling OOC (Michigan says sorry, btw). They can’t do a whole lot about their conference schedule, either. All in all, I wouldn’t mind more love their way, but there you go.

by Hooper on Dec 1, 2008 7:55 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

Western Michigan

Lost to Nebraska by 23, Central Michigan by 10 and Ball State by 23. Their best win to offset that is either a six-point victory against Buffalo or the same margin against Illinois, depending on how you want to look at those two. So I’d say the Midwest Broncos have to go. (And I not anti-mid-major; I’ve got Utah, TCU and Ball State all on my ballot.) Go with Pittsburgh or Iowa instead.

I’d also say Michigan State and/or Northwestern are waaaay too high. They had decent years, but against pretty week competition. Northwestern lost to Ohio State by 35 and Indiana to boot. Michigan State lost to Ohio State by 38 and Penn State by 31.

Team Speed Kills. All SEC, all the time.

by cocknfire on Dec 1, 2008 4:06 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

And by waaaaay too high, I guess I mean three or four spots

Typed more quickly than I was thinking, obviously.

Team Speed Kills. All SEC, all the time.

by cocknfire on Dec 1, 2008 4:07 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Thanks for the 'sheet:

Looking a little closer: if USC wins, they will probably be ahead of Penn State (and could possibly be in a tie or slightly behind; it’s really close). So I’m fine with them where they’re at for now.

Cincinnati, if they win, will be 11-2 and have a better W/L figure than the 10-2 teams. That will probably move them up another spot (but no more than that).

All in all, I’d use the 2 vetoes to move Utah and Boise State up. But you’ll see a lot of disagreement about the mid-majors, so take it for what it’s worth.

by Hooper on Dec 1, 2008 8:02 PM EST reply actions 0 recs