SEC Power Poll: Rocky Top Talk Ballot

by Hooper on Oct 6, 2009 5:00 PM EDT Comment 4 comments

The numbers shouldn't be too shocking. Florida and Alabama are the top tier, and LSU and Auburn are the next level. Georgia through Ole Miss are a close pack, and all have their own weaknesses. While Mississippi State is in the bottom rung, that masks some impressive improvement on their end. They've had a very tough schedule so far, and they haven't done too poorly yet.

SEC	Team	WL	SOS	PED	RD	3DO	TD	PEO	OPPG	TO	3DD	W SUM
1	Florida	1.629	-0.357	2.333	0.999	2.361	2.113	2.063	2.124	2.316	1.358	139.635
2	Alabama	1.629	0.004	1.401	1.623	0.644	1.968	1.472	1.199	1.319	1.496	117.899
3	LSU	1.629	0.610	1.282	0.469	0.301	0.441	0.469	1.147	-0.900	-0.560	81.149
4	Auburn	1.629	-0.432	0.966	-0.337	0.800	0.094	1.298	-0.018	2.104	-0.114	66.100
5	Georgia	0.150	1.663	-0.113	0.368	0.116	-0.121	0.703	-0.536	-0.601	0.695	40.992
6	S. Carolina	0.889	-0.751	0.605	0.527	-0.238	1.320	-0.121	0.888	-0.105	0.153	32.350
7	Tennessee	-0.590	1.276	0.744	0.522	-0.394	1.108	-0.722	0.526	-0.033	0.503	30.401
8	Mississippi	0.704	-1.306	1.752	0.443	-0.132	1.115	-0.070	1.671	-0.084	1.962	29.282
9	Miss. St.	-0.590	1.375	0.052	-0.165	-0.585	0.214	-0.677	-0.329	0.046	0.358	6.608
10	Kentucky	-0.220	0.606	0.416	-1.148	0.174	-0.045	-1.039	-0.368	-0.792	-0.120	-9.080
11	Arkansas	-0.220	0.705	-1.489	0.377	-1.716	-0.832	1.232	-0.691	0.976	0.079	-14.065
12	Vanderbilt	-0.590	-0.311	1.556	-0.478	-0.674	0.893	-2.088	1.043	-0.576	1.149	-16.803

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The optimist in me looks at this and says

We can give Florida, Bama, and Auburn games, but we can beat UGA, USC, and Ole Miss. Also, we should be UK and Vandy. This puts us between 5-7 and 8-4 with the most likely outcome being 6-6 or 7-5. At this point, I can live with that. I hope your power rankings speak truth.

by Incipient_Senescence on Oct 6, 2009 10:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

They're beginning to fall in line.

The big problem early in the season is that a lot of the offense and defense metrics get bloated for teams who play cupcakes. Heck, look at our own WVU game. But as teams play better competition, those numbers slowly fall in line. The most heartening thing is that UT has already played the two best offense in the league (and best by a very healthy margin), and UT’s defensive metrics are still very good. So while many teams will fight to keep their bloated numbers looking good, UT should actually see improvement. (And hopefully the offense will improve as a matter of course, though the Alabama defense probably won’t help much.)

But consider us, South Carolina, and Mississippi functionally equivalent to each other. Georgia is bumped simply because of a very nasty early slate of games.

by Hooper on Oct 6, 2009 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Yay!

We’re not the worst at anything!

Rocky Top Talk

by Joel on Oct 6, 2009 10:49 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Heh.

I think the WKU game is still buoying our passing numbers, but you do have to wonder just how bad Vandy’s passing game is. Even without WKU, I don’t think we get close to their mark in passing.

by Hooper on Oct 6, 2009 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs