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SEC Power Poll: Rocky Top Talk Ballot

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The numbers shouldn't be too shocking.  Florida and Alabama are the top tier, and LSU and Auburn are the next level.  Georgia through Ole Miss are a close pack, and all have their own weaknesses.  While Mississippi State is in the bottom rung, that masks some impressive improvement on their end.  They've had a very tough schedule so far, and they haven't done too poorly yet.

SEC Team WL SOS PED RD 3DO TD PEO OPPG TO 3DD W SUM
1 Florida 1.629 -0.357 2.333 0.999 2.361 2.113 2.063 2.124 2.316 1.358 139.635
2 Alabama 1.629 0.004 1.401 1.623 0.644 1.968 1.472 1.199 1.319 1.496 117.899
3 LSU 1.629 0.610 1.282 0.469 0.301 0.441 0.469 1.147 -0.900 -0.560 81.149
4 Auburn 1.629 -0.432 0.966 -0.337 0.800 0.094 1.298 -0.018 2.104 -0.114 66.100
5 Georgia 0.150 1.663 -0.113 0.368 0.116 -0.121 0.703 -0.536 -0.601 0.695 40.992
6 S. Carolina 0.889 -0.751 0.605 0.527 -0.238 1.320 -0.121 0.888 -0.105 0.153 32.350
7 Tennessee -0.590 1.276 0.744 0.522 -0.394 1.108 -0.722 0.526 -0.033 0.503 30.401
8 Mississippi 0.704 -1.306 1.752 0.443 -0.132 1.115 -0.070 1.671 -0.084 1.962 29.282
9 Miss. St. -0.590 1.375 0.052 -0.165 -0.585 0.214 -0.677 -0.329 0.046 0.358 6.608
10 Kentucky -0.220 0.606 0.416 -1.148 0.174 -0.045 -1.039 -0.368 -0.792 -0.120 -9.080
11 Arkansas -0.220 0.705 -1.489 0.377 -1.716 -0.832 1.232 -0.691 0.976 0.079 -14.065
12 Vanderbilt -0.590 -0.311 1.556 -0.478 -0.674 0.893 -2.088 1.043 -0.576 1.149 -16.803

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The optimist in me looks at this and says

We can give Florida, Bama, and Auburn games, but we can beat UGA, USC, and Ole Miss. Also, we should be UK and Vandy. This puts us between 5-7 and 8-4 with the most likely outcome being 6-6 or 7-5. At this point, I can live with that. I hope your power rankings speak truth.

by Incipient_Senescence on Oct 6, 2009 10:31 PM EDT reply actions  

They're beginning to fall in line.

The big problem early in the season is that a lot of the offense and defense metrics get bloated for teams who play cupcakes. Heck, look at our own WVU game. But as teams play better competition, those numbers slowly fall in line. The most heartening thing is that UT has already played the two best offense in the league (and best by a very healthy margin), and UT’s defensive metrics are still very good. So while many teams will fight to keep their bloated numbers looking good, UT should actually see improvement. (And hopefully the offense will improve as a matter of course, though the Alabama defense probably won’t help much.)

But consider us, South Carolina, and Mississippi functionally equivalent to each other. Georgia is bumped simply because of a very nasty early slate of games.

by David Hooper on Oct 6, 2009 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yay!

We’re not the worst at anything!

Rocky Top Talk

by Joel Hollingsworth on Oct 6, 2009 10:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Heh.

I think the WKU game is still buoying our passing numbers, but you do have to wonder just how bad Vandy’s passing game is. Even without WKU, I don’t think we get close to their mark in passing.

by David Hooper on Oct 6, 2009 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

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