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Vols in the 4th Quarter: Sprinting and Stumbling


During Lane Kiffin's weekly press conference today, he mentioned that Tennessee has the highest fourth quarter scoring differential of any team in the SEC.  Looking back inside the numbers, it's not just points - Tennessee has outgained the opposition, and decidedly so, in four of the first five games.

Teams that have great success in the fourth quarter are typically teams that win, which is one thing the Vols haven't been this season.  Part of that falls to the Vols' performance in the first three quarters:  two different 23-6 holes against Florida and Auburn, and a 19-10 deficit against UCLA.  Having to come back down multiple possessions puts a strain on an offense, and that strain is worsened by Tennessee's inability to hit the big play.

This has led to an extraordinarily high number of 8+ play drives, especially late in the game.  Drives like these are usually difficult to sustain consistently, and yet the Vols have done it a number of times in only five games.

The problem, however, has been finishing these drives. 

Star-divide

Here are the overall fourth quarter numbers in the Vols' first five games:

  • Western Kentucky:  Vols 28-0, 188 total yards, -6 yards allowed
  • UCLA:  Vols 5-0, 81 total yards, -2 yards allowed
  • Florida:  Vols 7-0, 125 total yards, 68 yards allowed
  • Ohio:  3-3, 64 total yards, 117 yards allowed
  • Auburn:  Vols 16-10, 213 total yards, 94 yards allowed
  • Season Totals:  Vols 59-13, 671 total yards, 271 yards allowed

Tennessee has outscored the opposition by 46 points and outgained them by 400 yards in the 4th quarter.  Again, these seem like numbers that belong to a team that's finishing well and getting the job done.

But again, these yards are coming, for the most part, as the result of mulitiple-play drives.  And on several occasions, those drives have failed to pay off.  The following are all fourth quarter drives this year:

  • UCLA:  17 plays, 69 yards, field goal
  • UCLA:  13 plays, 53 yards, stopped at the one yard line
  • Florida:  9 plays, 27 yards, interception
  • Ohio:  8 plays, 35 yards, field goal
  • Auburn:  18 plays, 72 yards, field goal

Each one of these fourth quarter drives came at critical junctures in the game, and each one failed to produce a touchdown.  In fact, all of Tennessee's fourth quarter drives that have produced touchdowns have come in 7 plays or less.

Failing to take advantage in the red zone and at the end of drives was one of the real downfalls of the Clawfense last year, though I think we'd all agree that Tennessee's offense under Kiffin has been an improvement in almost every other way.  Kiffin noted in his press conference that the 18 play drive against Auburn was the longest by any team in the SEC this season, which is noteworthy.  But again, the Vols are failing to finish these drives, coming all the way downfield in unexpected fashion considering our passing game struggles and the fact that we've been playing from behind, only to stumble at the finish line.

So first...the Vols could use more big plays.

The downfield passing game hasn't been there, but big plays by Montario Hardesty have been at times.  We can't expect Jonathan Crompton to all of a sudden start firing 40 yard TD passes, but guys like Gerald Jones could help the offense tremendously by increasing their YAC.

And second...the Vols have to finish drives.

Field goals weren't good enough to beat UCLA or Florida, and in Gainesville the Vols had two first half drives of 15 and 6 plays that didn't finish in the end zone, so it hasn't just been a fourth quarter issue.  As it continues to become clear that Tennessee isn't going to score 40 points per game and that big plays may not be out there, field goals may not be good enough against Georgia, Alabama, South Carolina or the rest either.  When scoring opportunities present themselves or the offense does manage to string together another long drive, the Vols m-u-s-t learn to finish.

Tennessee has put the pieces together in the fourth quarter, but failed to finish the puzzle.  As we've said, the Vols are close.  Now it's time to stop being close, start putting the ball in the end zone, finish drives and win the game.

0 recs  |  Comment 7 comments |

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With the fourth quarter success,

the offense has to remember that it can have success, even when the initial going is rough. I like to think that this means that Kiffin is making good adjustments as the game goes on as well.

But yeah, when they start finishing drives (start finishing … heh), we’ll see pieces of the old dominance returning.

by Hooper on Oct 6, 2009 3:13 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

A ponderance:

I have no actual data to back this up, but I’ve always had the feeling that strong finishing teams have been strong in the interior of the offensive line. If the power running game is a true threat when the defense expects it, the defense must consume considerable resources to stopping it. That would open up the passes against an otherwise very compact secondary.

If that’s a key element of strong finishing, then the injury to McNeil and having Vlad on the medical list are not helping us out much. I love the Sullins boys, but I worry about them being a little bit light in goal line situations.

by Hooper on Oct 6, 2009 3:22 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

As I recall per your analysis...

Zone blocking is less effective in goal line situations to begin with, that accompanied with a light interior offers some reasoning behind our red zone woes.

My question is a few times we’ve seen an effective play action dumpoff work in 4th and short situations. Why not use that more inside the 10?

"I can't hear you, Rocky Top is playing."

by Getoffmyvols on Oct 6, 2009 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

In goal line situations, the linebackers are usually huddled up right on the line, so there are no space-defined double teams in effect anymore. You’re basically forced into a power run game.

by Hooper on Oct 6, 2009 4:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's obviously due

to that little jump around and get fired up thing they do before the fourth quarter :)

Florida Sucks!

by BrownforHeisman on Oct 6, 2009 7:37 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

heh good point

We should do that before every quarter.

"I can't hear you, Rocky Top is playing."

by Getoffmyvols on Oct 6, 2009 9:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

They nearly did.

They did it in the first half too.

by Hooper on Oct 6, 2009 9:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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