Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: stat comparison

Tennessee (15-8, 6-3) will attempt to bust up the logjam in the SEC East today when they host the Vanderbilt Commodores (15-8, 4-5) at 3:00 p.m. EST in Thompson-Boling Arena. Vanderbilt will be looking to avenge a 63-76 January 20 loss to the Vols.

Observations from the stats

Since the last time we played Vandy . . . we're scoring three fewer points per game and our rebounding margin has taken a hit . . . but we've improved scoring defense, scoring margin, FG%, and FG% defense. Vandy's gotten worse at scoring defense by about six points per contest, and their FG% defense has dropped off as well.

Vanderbilt players to watch

When these two teams met last time . . . both A.J. Ogilvy and Jermaine Beal were ranked in two categories. Today, only Beal is ranked, and he in only one category: assist-to-turnover ratio. Tennessee has the same three guys (Tyler Smith, Wayne Chism, and Bobby Maze) ranked in the same three categories (PPG, RPG, and assist-to-turnover ratio).

Other Stuff

KenPom's prediction: Tennessee wins 78-68. According to KenPom, Tennessee's probability of winning is 83%.

The stats

KEY STATS COMPARISON
Category	Rank	Actual	Rank	Actual
Scoring Offense	15	80.2	136	70.1
Scoring Defense	287	73.0	79	63.8
Scoring Margin	66	7.2	79	6.3
Field-Goal Percentage	78	46.0	98	45.2
Field-Goal Percentage Defense	199	43.7	25	39.1
Three-Point Field Goals Per Game	122	6.7	174	6.2
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage	241	31.6	178	33.7
Three Pt FG Defense	156	33.9	292	36.6
Free-Throw Percentage	144	69.4	95	70.9
Rebound Margin	54	4.2	48	4.5
Assists Per Game	12	17.0	181	12.9
Assist Turnover Ratio	29	1.22	201	0.89
Blocked Shots Per Game	122	3.6	57	4.3
Steals Per Game	159	6.8	252	5.9
Turnovers Per Game	158	13.9	209	14.5
Turnover Margin	100	1.3	266	-1.6
Personal Fouls Per Game	242	19.5	88	17.2

PLAYERS TO WATCH
Category	Player	Rank	Actual	Player	Rank	Actual
Points PG	T. Smith	97	17.2
FG%
3-Point FG PG
3-Point FG%
FT %
Rebounds PG	W. Chism	51	8.6
Assists PG
Blocks PG
Steals PG
Assist-TO Ratio	B. Maze	48	2.13	J. Beal	29	2.36