Tennessee Volunteers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: stat comparison

Use whatever metaphor you want, Tennessee (16-10, 7-5) really needs to win its game tonight against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-10, 7-5). The Vols are reeling after back to back losses, including an embarrassment at the hands of rival Kentucky this past weekend. Facing four guards and the nation's best shot blocker in a must-win game is a downright frightening scenario for Tennessee fans.

Observations from the stats

Tennessee's field goal percentage defense is atrocious. What causes that? Who knows? Well, perhaps we can rebound against them, although with all of those guards hitting eight three-pointers per game, you know they're taking and missing a bunch more of them and that those rebounds tend to go conveniently right over the heads of our defenders packed down low. Scotty Hopson, Bobby Maze, Josh Tabb, stay between the shooter and the basket, por favor.

Bulldog players to watch

Jarvis Varnado is currently averaging five blocks per game. Our guys down low will need to mix up interior passing, pump fakes, slams, and quick moves to keep him off balance.

Other Stuff

KenPom's prediction: Tennessee wins 79-70, with an 80% chance of winning. We keep surprising Pomeroy, though, so you know.

The line ups

Tennessee
Ht.
Wt.
Yr.
PPG
RPG
APG
C 4 Wayne Chism
6-9
242
Jr.
13.1
8.4
1.3
F 1 Tyler Smith
6-7
215
Jr.
17.2
5.7
3.4
G 30 J.P. Prince
6-7
205
Jr.
9.7
4.0
3.1
G 32 Scotty Hopson
6-7
185
Fr.
9.1
2.3
1.1
G 3 Bobby Maze
6-2
185
Jr.
8.4
2.4
3.3
Mississippi State
Ht.
Wt.
Yr.
PPG
RPG
APG
C 32 Jarvis Varnado
6-9
210
Jr.
13.3
9.3
0.9
G 25 Phil Turner
6-3
170
So.
8.6
5.0
1.6
G 3 Dee Bost
6-2
170
Fr.
11.3
3.3
3.4
G 22 Barry Stewart
6-3
170
Jr.
11.6
3.9
1.8
G 2 Ravern Johnson
6-7
175
So.
12.4
3.5
1.3

The stats

KEY STATS COMPARISON
Tennessee logo
Mississippi State logo
Category
Rank
Actual
Rank
Actual
Scoring Offense
27
78.3
57
75.2
Scoring Defense
284
72.5
196
68.7
Scoring Margin
79
5.8
69
6.6
Field-Goal Percentage
98
45.2
183
43.5
Field-Goal Percentage Defense
230
44.3
20
39.0
Three-Point Field Goals Per Game
140
6.5
20
8.4
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage
268
30.6
75
36.7
Three Pt FG Defense
122
33.3
203
34.7
Free-Throw Percentage
197
67.9
103
70.8
Rebound Margin
68
3.3
224
-1.0
Assists Per Game
22
16.1
188
12.8
Assist Turnover Ratio
32
1.18
209
0.88
Blocked Shots Per Game
120
3.6
1
8.2
Steals Per Game
139
7.0
80
7.6
Turnovers Per Game
143
13.6
210
14.4
Turnover Margin
74
1.8
166
0.0
Personal Fouls Per Game
241
19.4
59
16.8

 

PLAYERS TO WATCH Tennessee logo
Mississippi State logo
Category Player Rank Actual Player Rank Actual
Points PG Tyler Smith
100
17.2
     
FG%  
Jarvis Varnado 41 55.8
3-Point FG PG  
     
3-Point FG%  
     
FT %  
     
Rebounds PG Wayne Chism
53
8.4
Jarvis Varnado 28 9.3
Assists PG  
     
Blocks PG  
Jarvis Varnado 1 5.0
Steals PG  
     
Assist-TO
Ratio
Bobby Maze
66
2.0
     
X
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