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Tennessee vs. Alabama - Free Throws, Kids

(Bonus points for whoever came up with the "missed free throws make me want to kill myself" tag on SBNation...)

Writing something like this is just begging for a jinx...

Alabama disposed of Vanderbilt 82-75 in the SEC Tournament's opening round, setting up a rematch between the Vols and the Tide from the game just played five days ago in Knoxville.  Watching the Tide again tonight, they displayed a subtle but vital strength:  these kids don't miss free throws.

On Sunday, Alabama was 16 of 19 at the line, 84.2%.  Tonight, they were even better:  25 of 28, 89.3%.  When Vanderbilt fouled to extend the game late, Alabama was perfect, making their last 12 free throws consecutively. 

It's the little things that make the difference in March...and there's no more painful place to lose a game than at the free throw line.

Tennessee fans know this well.  Two years ago, the Vols had every reason to beat #1 Ohio State and advance to the first Elite Eight in the history of the program...and shot 8 of 17 at the free throw line in a one point loss.  That's 46%, if you're scoring at home...or if you're playing with your kids, whose junior pro team probably shoots a better percentage.

Sunday, Tennessee shot 10 of 22 - an even worse percentage - which is a number that's both hopeful and maddening.  Hopeful, because you believe that if Tennessee just makes a few more free throws, there's enough of a gap between us and Alabama that you should feel good about us in the rematch.  And maddening, because it seems like the sort of thing that's just waiting to happen to us again.  Maybe not tomorrow, maybe not in Tampa...but perhaps next week, when survive and advance can be won and lost at the charity stripe.

Perhaps some of it is Pearl - if you're looking for the short list of things Buzz Peterson did better than Bruce, free throws give you a small argument (70.6% for Buzz's four teams, 67.1% for Bruce's four).  However, each of those numbers are inflated by great individual shooters - Scooter McFadgon, CJ Watson and Chris Lofton all shot better than 88% at the line.

Who's the best free throw shooter currently wearing an orange jersey?

Emmanuel Negedu. 

That's right - #5 is 26 of 31, 83.9%.  But after him, there's no one in the regular rotation (a designation for which Negedu barely qualifies) shooting better than 75%.

That's alarming both in a general sense, and for the way that the Vols may be facing teams who are trying to extend the game against them...and every miss at the line keeps a team in it.

Free throws set up a miracle shot for Alabama on Sunday.  Tonight they kept Vanderbilt at bay and helped the Tide keep playing.  What role will they play in the rest of Tennessee's season?

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Good stuff

I wonder how much our FT shooting varies over games. How much does our average fluctuate? Are we just stuck shooting poorly until we can put in some time commitment over the summer to correct it? It is possible, because if I’m remembering correctly, Chism is much-improved this season.

Rocky Top Talk

by Joel on Mar 13, 2009 10:16 AM EDT reply actions  

Fluctuations...

(stats from the official team site)

Season Average: 67.2%
Opponent Average: 67.9%

Games over 80: 3 (at Temple, LSU, Georgia; season high 81.8 on 9 of 11 vs. Georgia)
Games 75-79: 5
Games 70-74: 7
Games 65-69: 3
Games 60-64: 5
Games 55-59: 4
Games 54 or worse: 3 (Florida, at Ole Miss, Alabama; season worst 45.5% on 10 of 22 vs. Alabama)

It’s not definitive, because we lost two of the games we shot the best (20 of 25 at Temple, 21 of 26 vs LSU) and beat Florida in Knoxville despite shooting 9 of 17. But it fluctuates wildly – our best shooting night of 81.8% against Georgia is right between a 58.8% game at Auburn and a 56.5% game against Vandy.

It’s even stranger because our best shooters are mostly big men (outside Brian Williams at 51%):

TENNESSEE FT% LEADERS
Negedu 83.9%
T. Smith 75.0%
Maze 71.0%
Chism 70.2%

Now, outside Maze, look at our guards:

Prince 63.9%
Hopson 63.2%
Tatum 58.0%
Woolridge 52.9%
Tabb 44% (!!!)

I’ll take the kids that shoot over 70%…they’re just not who you’d assume they’d be, and they’re usually not who’s getting fouled down the stretch.

The season average means we hit two out of three. If we keep hitting two out of three, I don’t think it’ll be an issue. But it’s the maddening and wild inconsistency that I worry is going to show up sooner or later in one of these tournament games, it’s just a matter of when…

by Will on Mar 13, 2009 3:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

That's what I was afraid of

Thanks for the stats. Hopefully it’s just a matter of focus and that our focus will improve in the postseason.

Rocky Top Talk

by Joel on Mar 14, 2009 8:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

Cant wait for this game

Im really excited, as I really wanted to see this over a UT-Vandy game.

now with less meyton panning.

by Pride of the Southland on Mar 13, 2009 12:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Did anyone watch...

The UConn Syracuse game last night… if not you may have heard, 6 overtimes, 7 foul outs over 200 field goals and 90 free throws attempted. But the thing that stuck out to me was the Syracuse point guard, can’t remember his name, missed one free throw out of maybe 16 in the overtimes. Impressive.

by Getoffmyvols on Mar 13, 2009 1:13 PM EDT reply actions  

Defacto Non-UT Game Thread

(which I would have loved to have, btw)

You can’t spell NIT without UK: LSU up double didgits on Kentucky in the second, 58-45 4:30 left. They made 3 straight 3’s to tear the game even more wide open than it was.

UNC Survives: Beat Va Tech by 3

Spartans move on: Michigan State wins by 8

by bobo_the_vol on Mar 13, 2009 2:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Kentucky down

looks like Miss St. is going to win over South Carolina too

now with less meyton panning.

by Pride of the Southland on Mar 13, 2009 5:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeup.

So USC might miss the tourney after all. But I think they are in, for what it’s worth.

by bobo_the_vol on Mar 13, 2009 5:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

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