SEC Power Poll Draft: Week 5

by David Hooper on Oct 3, 2010 8:00 PM EDT in College Football

Ok, you're going to want some overrides on this week.

Here's a handy-dandy chart showing their relative closeness, and the numbers follow after the jump.

SEC	Team	WL	SOS	PED	RD	3DO	TD	PEO	OPPG	TO	3DD	SCORE
1	Alabama	1.486	0.971	1.748	1.050	1.057	0.975	1.574	1.819	1.083	1.578	134.246
2	LSU	1.486	1.124	0.702	1.528	0.159	1.658	-1.614	1.415	-0.812	0.886	99.822
3	Auburn	1.486	-0.169	0.127	1.228	0.849	0.346	2.584	0.654	1.241	0.413	98.330
4	Florida	0.746	1.277	1.332	0.872	0.061	0.996	-0.446	0.797	-0.630	0.855	74.429
5	South Carolina	0.561	0.474	-0.435	0.458	1.876	-0.160	0.828	0.720	0.066	-0.431	48.771
6	Arkansas	0.561	-0.671	0.293	0.197	-0.279	0.906	1.584	1.165	1.139	0.286	39.272
7	Mississippi St.	0.007	0.097	-0.171	0.498	1.189	0.665	0.612	0.963	0.099	0.233	27.554
8	Kentucky	0.007	-0.279	0.672	-0.367	0.381	0.742	0.622	-0.534	0.940	0.392	14.109
9	Mississippi	0.007	-0.141	-0.769	0.733	-0.257	-0.066	1.056	-0.986	0.523	0.593	-0.601
10	Tennessee	-0.733	1.583	0.783	-0.167	-2.085	-0.283	-0.598	-0.059	-0.732	0.083	-26.273
11	Georgia	-1.472	1.308	-0.979	0.389	0.081	0.498	0.638	0.322	-0.301	-0.563	-37.327
12	Vanderbilt	-1.287	1.723	-0.089	-1.178	-2.289	-0.320	-1.157	-0.201	-1.203	0.459	-71.467

I think the LSU/Auburn swap is pretty evident. LSU benefits greatly in our computers in that offensive numbers aren't weighted as heavily as defensive numbers. They have the worst passing game in the SEC, and it isn't really even close. They still get to face the two best passing defenses in the conference as well: Alabama and Florida.

The gap between Florida and South Carolina / Arkansas is a bit artificial. Since the latter have had a bye week, their winning percentage is not as high as Florida's, which makes a small difference. Florida still has a clear lead in the computers, but that does have to be remembered.

Kentucky/Mississippi: Whatcha think?

Tennessee is no longer the worst 3rd down offense in the SEC, thanks to Vandy. Even better for UT: Georgia has the worst 3rd-down defense in the league.

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Comments

Off topic but this can't be right

I just saw UT as a 11 point underdog at Georgia this coming weekend. The + 16 was a joke against LSU and we covered that easily. I know I know, we “lost” the game.

I guess Vegas thinks we will have nothing left in the tank, or that LSU is overated, or that AJ Green will feast on our 2ndary, or I don;t know what.

Give the rock to Tauren Poole 30 times this weekend.

by Jan221973 on Oct 3, 2010 9:44 PM EDT reply actions

It's right

UGA is -10.5. Disrespect is our ally this week.

Rocky Top Talk

by Will Shelton on Oct 3, 2010 10:16 PM EDT up reply actions

The constant repetition...

in the offseason of us being a 2-10 team is still the national perception for this team…

The spread will drop like a rock in the first few days until it gets to ~7.5 from the sharp bettors, but the amateurs will push it back to 10 or so by kickoff. That or vegas sees something we don’t and wants to clean out the Tennessee bettors.

by Caban on Oct 3, 2010 11:06 PM EDT up reply actions

Head to head becomes a problem now

Vandy over Ole Miss over Kentucky? That’s a hard sell. Even with another week to play, the computer really hates the Dores and it’s hard not to put them at the bottom. What about Rebels, UK, UT, UGA, Vandy?

Rocky Top Talk

by Will Shelton on Oct 3, 2010 10:22 PM EDT reply actions

And yes, I still know Ole Miss lost to Jacksonville State

but Masoli is making at least their offense much better every week

Rocky Top Talk

by Will Shelton on Oct 3, 2010 10:23 PM EDT up reply actions

I'm not so sure I'd not put UT over UK, right now.

UK has been porous to two SEC teams, while Tennessee played LSU .. well, we know. I think you have to give Ole Miss the benefit of winning a conference game, and then do the same to Vandy. Until other people win I don’t think it’s fair to rank them so low. I’d go Ole Miss, Vandy, UT, UGA, UK.

______________________________________________
I will give my North Carolina for Tennessee Today. Apparently.

by bobothevol on Oct 3, 2010 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions

But definately gotta have Ole Miss over Kentucky, whereever it is.

______________________________________________
I will give my North Carolina for Tennessee Today. Apparently.

by bobothevol on Oct 3, 2010 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions

Vanderbilt's offense is horrific

But I think you could make an argument that UGA belongs at the bottom. Yes, they played USC and Arkansas close…but they’re 1-4 and just lost to Colorado. Statistics, schmatistics, that team is no good (I will not remember saying this if we lose to them on Saturday).

by VolnVA on Oct 3, 2010 10:49 PM EDT reply actions

until Georgia wins...

they really have no case to outrank anyone except MSU/Vandy… and even that’s a push.

Colorado is BAD

by Caban on Oct 3, 2010 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions

Ummmm. . .

They lost to MSU.

by Incipient_Senescence on Oct 3, 2010 11:20 PM EDT up reply actions

doh...

sorry, been sick today… completely forgot

by Caban on Oct 4, 2010 12:58 AM EDT up reply actions

I might just flip Florida/Auburn and Ole Miss/Kentucky

And let things sort themselves out. The Tennessee/Georgia winner will have a serious argument over both of them. With the possible exception of if Georgia wins (as 11 point favorites). Looking close in losses doesn’t seem like quite enough for a bump. And as for Vandy, UConn may not be as bad as Colorado, but they’ve been pretty bad.

by Incipient_Senescence on Oct 3, 2010 11:23 PM EDT reply actions

I would go

I would definitely flip LSU and Auburn. I might also flip LSU and Florida, but that’s more of a judgment call. The Kentucky/Ole Miss flip makes sense.

Bama
Auburn
Florida
LSU
South Carolina
Arkansas
Miss st
Ole Miss
Kentucky
Tennessee
Georgia
Vandy

...just apologize for not thanking me.

by kidbourbon on Oct 4, 2010 4:34 PM EDT reply actions