SEC Power Poll Ballot Week 13

by David Hooper on Nov 28, 2010 6:00 PM EST in College Football

Here are the SEC rankings as our computer spits 'em out. We have a few overrides to do before submitting the actual ballot; discussion of that and the numbers follow after the jump.

SEC	Team	WL	SOS	PED	RD	3DO	TD	PEO	OPPG	TO	3DD	SCORE
1	Auburn	2.127	0.836	-0.319	1.327	1.644	0.167	2.797	0.172	1.657	0.463	136.660
2	Alabama	0.892	0.994	1.556	0.898	0.389	1.442	1.835	1.736	0.808	1.123	106.651
3	Arkansas	1.304	0.963	0.623	-0.057	0.266	0.612	1.952	0.504	1.644	1.458	93.134
4	South Carolina	0.892	0.832	-0.345	1.743	1.418	0.633	1.225	0.870	0.170	0.347	85.269
5	LSU	1.304	0.827	0.919	0.548	-0.663	1.335	-0.892	1.214	-0.798	0.929	76.440
6	Mississippi St.	0.480	0.718	0.258	0.944	0.729	0.265	0.153	0.848	0.165	0.796	52.575
7	Florida	0.069	1.008	0.875	0.713	-0.289	1.311	-0.575	0.741	-0.420	0.107	37.265
8	Georgia	-0.343	0.684	-0.009	0.174	0.266	0.687	1.558	0.457	0.156	-0.566	15.741
9	Kentucky	-0.343	0.051	0.181	-0.412	0.624	0.344	0.843	-0.314	0.834	0.200	0.158
10	Tennessee	-0.343	0.536	0.638	0.076	-0.646	-0.188	0.289	0.231	-0.279	-0.030	-3.311
11	Mississippi	-1.166	0.622	-1.406	0.071	-0.977	-0.515	-0.420	-1.262	0.250	0.417	-68.824
12	Vanderbilt	-1.990	0.747	-0.763	-1.054	-2.128	-0.896	-1.897	-0.693	-1.333	0.265	-125.620

The Top

We need to sort out Alabama, Arkansas, and LSU. I think the order ought to go Arky, LSU, then Alabama, but I'm open to suggestion on that. Also, we'll need to figure out where South Carolina fits in all of that.

The Middle

Outside of that, I like Mississippi State above Florida and Georgia. I suppose Florida could stay above Georgia on record and head-to-head, but I think that Georgia is the better team right now. Still, on-field results, right?

The Bottom

Why didn't Tennessee overtake Kentucky? First, the computer doesn't place head-to-head value in the equation the way we do; it just knows that Kentucky lost and Tennessee won, and the metrics break down as mirrors (though there's not real significance to that). Second and more importantly, Tennessee's defensive metrics were hurt worse than Kentucky's. How is that possible when Tennessee outgained Kentucky, gained more turnovers, and outscored them? Well, Tennessee's PED and RD were both higher than Kentucky's by enough that the amount that Kentucky gained dropped Tennessee's average values more than vice versa. Since those are the two most important performance metrics in the equation, Tennessee lost just enough value to keep them below Kentucky.

Oh, and Kentucky's SOS went up while Tennessee's went down. At any rate, I'll obviously bump Tennessee above Kentucky. (No homer!)

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Comments

Top five:

1. Auburn
2. Arkansas
3. LSU
4. South Carolina
5. Alabama

Alabama is 1-3 against the teams ranked ahead of them, and the only team they’ve beaten (Arkansas) has beaten #3 and #4.

I support Georgia over Florida, as Florida is falling apart, and UT over Kentucky, as that game was pretty decisive. Actually, I think you could really make an argument for UT over Florida at this point, but we probably shouldn’t, for fear of looking homerish.

Oh, and MSU beat both Georgia and Florida. Keep ’em ahead.

by Incipient_Senescence on Nov 28, 2010 6:07 PM EST reply actions

Agree with your top five

Florida over Georgia rabblerabblerabble

Rocky Top Talk

by Will Shelton on Nov 28, 2010 6:15 PM EST up reply actions

And there is an argument for UT over florida at this point...

…but I agree that it would seem homerish.

...just apologize for not thanking me.

by kidbourbon on Nov 28, 2010 6:21 PM EST up reply actions

The final answer

1. Auby
2. Arky
3. Spurier
4. The Mad Hatter
5. Bammer
6. MSU
7. The fighting AJ Green’s
8. The “hot mess” offense
9. The only Ten I see
10. Kentucky
11. Ole Miss
12. Vandy

...just apologize for not thanking me.

by kidbourbon on Nov 28, 2010 6:20 PM EST reply actions