Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Kentucky Football: Tee Martin Reportedly Leaving for USC

More piling-on by ESPN:

BEST BET
No. 6 Tennessee (23.1 vulnerability rating) vs. No. 11 San Diego State (67.0 Giant Killer rating)
UPSET CHANCE: 15.5 percent

The Vols don't score from outside (just 17.6 points from 3-pointers per game, on 31.3 percent shooting, 282nd in the NCAA). And they don't hit the offensive glass (32.2 percent offensive rebounding percentage, 195th in the country). Of course, with their defense (eighth-most efficient in the nation), they often don't need to do any better in those categories. But in a Giant-Killing scenario, those weaknesses are harbingers of doom. Meanwhile, the Aztecs aren't your everyday pesky Killer -- they're tall, just average at generating turnovers and weak from long distance. But San Diego State is dominant on the boards, grabbing offensive rebounds on 40 percent of missed shots (ninth in the country, and best among potential Killers). Combined with outstanding shooting inside the arc, that makes them efficient on offense. (San Diego State is terrible from the free throw line, but, contrary to popular opinion, that's OK; Killers need to seek points elsewhere to be successful.) The Aztecs' propensity for blocking shots (22nd in the country) helps limit opponents to just 43.4 percent shooting on 2-point FGs, making them efficient on defense, too. And they played one of the strongest schedules among Killers. A year after getting snubbed by the NCAA, San Diego State could be real trouble this time around.

(the chance of upset at 15.5% is only 0.3% better than Houston's shot at upsetting Maryland, and is about the same chance they give Sam Houston State of upsetting Baylor. Of course, don't expect anyone on ESPN to consider that upset a foregone conclusion like they consider ours.)

almost 2 years ago Hardesty_tiny golfballs03 4 comments 0 recs  | 

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about the Tennessee Volunteers.

SHOP THE ROCKY TOP TALK STORE

Gameday Depot University Apparel

Animated Drive Charts

RTT Classics

RTT Classics 2008 Animated BlogPoll2007 Animated BlogPollLOL! Your logo is so scary! Welcome to Rocky Top Talk Tradition! Fiddlin' on the Roof2008 Animated BlogPoll The Season of Which We Do Not Speak Pearlfection Case Study: 2QB Systems and the 2005 Tennessee Volunteers The 2007 College Football Blogger Awards The 2006 College Football Blogger Awards The 20 coolest college football logos The 10 worst college football logos The 29 most boring college football logos 2006 Animated BCS Race 2005 Animated Race to the Rose Bowl

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recent FanShots

Football opener vs. NCSU moved to Friday, August 31
Tee Martin leaves Kentucky for USC
Kenneth Bynum is All Vol!
Oh, look. Kentucky fans got their feelwins hurt.
Softball - #9 Tennessee defeats #1 Arizona State 3-0 in Tempe
#9 Lady Vols softball opens the season in the Kajikawa Classic
Peyton Manning's face is everywhere!!
Potential Alzheimer's treatment with results.
Volunteer baseball TV schedule announced
Feelslike98 Film Room

+ New FanShot All FanShots >

YouTube


Editor-in-Chief

Gameday_depot_hat_guy_190x190__no_drop_shadow__small Joel Hollingsworth

Senior Editor

Gromit_small David Hooper

Associated_20press_clayliston_1965_l_small kidbourbon

Tennessee_logo_small Will Shelton

Tumblr_lx1hpdd3yx1r2a42bo1_250_small Chris Pendley

Mutantenemy_small Incipient_Senescence

Ut_small Brad Shepard

Author

Avatar2_small rustytanton

Vols_dooley_hair_small Getoffmyvols

Pygmy_marmoset_small marmotman

Picture_081_small Joseph Stanley

Jackson_the_mule_avatar_small Jackson the Mule

Img_0171_small RockyTopinKY

6156218740_03c5ca84f5_m_small VolnVA

Top_small _trey_

Small Chien Rouge