Tennessee Vol plus/minus and Roland Rating update
by Joel on Mar 8, 2010 6:53 AM EST
in Tennessee Volunteer Basketball
11 comments
Last week, we took a look at the Tennessee Volunteer Roland Ratings and found what we expected (Wayne Chism is consistently our best player), what we didn't expect (Steven Pearl had the second-best RR of the Vols over the SEC season), and a hopeful, positive pattern (J.P. Prince and Scotty Hopson were trending toward positive consistency). With the SEC regular season in the books, here are the final numbers:
| MSU | AR | KY | FL | SC | GA | KY | Van. | SC | LSU | FL | GA | AL | Miss. | Au. | AVG | |
| Williams | 26 | 15 | 23 | -17 | -2 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 8.3 | |||||||
| Chism | 28 | -17 | 7 | -1 | 14 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 28 | 5 | 19 | -7 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Prince | 16 | -9 | 17 | 3 | 20 | 21 | -23 | -15 | -4 | 9 | -1 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 8 | 2.9 |
| Pearl | -42 | 1 | -7 | -7 | -18 | -5 | 5 | 31 | 8 | 15 | -1 | 23 | -11 | 16 | 16 | 1.6 |
| Goins | -16 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -8 | -3 | 9 | -5 | -10 | 11 | 1 | 23 | 1.6 | |||
| Hopson | 14 | -1 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 5 | -17 | 13 | 12 | -1 | -13 | -5 | -13 | 6 | -22 | 1.5 |
| McBee | 3 | -19 | 1 | -8 | -25 | 29 | -19 | -2 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 7 | 0 | 4 | -1.7 | |
| Maze | 16 | -5 | -7 | -17 | 8 | 9 | -9 | 1 | 4 | -7 | -1 | -1 | -19 | -12 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Tatum | -14 | 17 | -17 | 5 | -18 | -12 | -9 | 1 | 13 | -3.8 | ||||||
| Hall | -20 | -3 | -27 | 35 | 4 | -17 | 11 | -7 | -18 | -5 | -13 | -23 | 1 | 0 | -6 | -5.9 |
| Woolridge | -8 | 3 | -23 | 5 | -18 | -23 | -5 | 7 | 7 | -30 | -10 | -8.6 |
Let's just say we should be glad to have Brian Williams back, as he's overtaken Weezy as the guy with the best RR. He and Chism are clearly the most important guys to have on the floor. Prince is next, and he and Hopson continue their six-game streak of mostly-positive indirect contribution.
As noted by Incipient_Senescence and golfballs03, the RR is vulnerable to criticism due to its accounting for off court plus/minus numbers in addition to on court numbers, so here are the full plus/minus charts for the past two games (once again culled from StatSheet.com):
| vs. Arkansas | Plus/Minus | Off Court | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | RR | +/- | + | - | +/- | + | - | ||
 |
W. Chism | 27 | -17 | -5 | 48 | -53 | 12 | 32 | -20 |
|
B. Williams | 26 | 15 | 11 | 50 | -39 | -4 | 30 | -34 |
|
B. Maze | 26 | -5 | 1 | 46 | -45 | 6 | 34 | -28 |
|
J. Prince | 23 | -9 | -1 | 40 | -41 | 8 | 40 | -32 |
|
S. Hopson | 31 | -1 | 3 | 60 | -57 | 4 | 20 | -16 |
|
S. McBee | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | 71 | -69 |
|
K. Hall | 8 | -3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 5 | 67 | -62 |
|
M. Goins | 14 | 3 | 5 | 38 | -33 | 2 | 42 | -40 |
|
S. Pearl | 21 | 1 | 4 | 46 | -42 | 3 | 34 | -31 |
|
C. Tatum | 21 | 17 | 12 | 50 | -38 | -5 | 30 | -35 |
| @ MSU | Plus/Minus | Off Court | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | RR | +/- | + | - | +/- | + | - | ||
|
W. Chism | 25 | 28 | 22 | 51 | -29 | -6 | 24 | -30 |
|
B. Williams | 27 | 26 | 21 | 53 | -32 | -5 | 22 | -27 |
|
B. Maze | 26 | 16 | 16 | 54 | -38 | 0 | 21 | -21 |
|
J. Prince | 29 | 16 | 16 | 55 | -39 | 0 | 20 | -20 |
|
S. Hopson | 31 | 14 | 15 | 62 | -47 | 1 | 13 | -12 |
|
R. Woolridge | 2 | -8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 71 | -59 |
|
K. Hall | 12 | -20 | -2 | 22 | -24 | 18 | 53 | -35 |
|
M. Goins | 15 | -16 | 0 | 21 | -21 | 16 | 54 | -38 |
|
S. Pearl | 14 | -42 | -13 | 20 | -33 | 29 | 55 | -26 |
|
C. Tatum | 19 | -14 | 1 | 33 | -32 | 15 | 42 | -27 |
Weezy's numbers against Mississippi State really show why the plus/minus is an important stat to coaches. He scored a total of one point against the Bulldogs and had only six rebounds, yet he was the team's best indirect contributor in that the team outscored its opponent by 22 points while he was on the floor. Credit Chism's perimeter presence and how it drew shot-blocker Varnado out of the paint.
If our best players -- Chism, Williams, Prince, and Hopson -- can all continue to play their best basketball with the consistency they've shown over the past six games, this team could be a lot of fun to watch in both the SEC and NCAA Tournaments.
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Wayne Chism had the best RR despite only scoring 1 point!
ha. However, Wayne Chism played great defense. He was responsible for at least 2 turnovers in the first few minutes. And MSU didn’t start scoring until Bruce put all the subs in, that probably why the starters all have the best +/-
The Sporting News Bracketology says
that the top of our resume is the best in the country, but they bottom (losses to USC and Georgia) will prevent us from getting higher than a 3 seed. They have us as a 5 right now, but if we make the SEC title game, we can climb as high as a 3. I think winning 2 games should guarantee us at least a 4, and if teams that are around our seed line (like Wisconsin and Pitt) lose early in their tournaments we could sneak in as a 3 even if we lose in the Semis to Kentucky
the loss to GA really wasn't that bad considering the other teams that GA beat
Living in Alabama is like living 50 years in the past, they are still just as racist, just as educated, the state constitution forbids any kind of public transportation, and all they can talk about is Bear Bryant
Thanks for posting the +/- as well
The Roland Rating made it look like folks like Goins and Tatum had a negative impact on the game. In fact, what we saw is this:
1. The starting five dominated as a unit
2. The subs kept it close, neither dominating nor getting dominated.
3. The only player whose presence really seemed to hurt the team was Baby Pearl. I’m not sure why that is, but I might guess it’s because of size issues. MSU has it, we don’t when Pearl is on the floor. At any rate, it’s anomalous in his case.
by Incipient_Senescence on Mar 8, 2010 10:35 AM EST reply actions
He just can't deal with big height differentials
Pearl is listed at 6’5", which might be generous…the only two players who’ve really taken advantage of him one-on-one are Varnado (6’9") and Alex Tyus (6’8"). I thought Pearl played pretty well in zone against Kentucky, which helps mask his shortcomings.
it's incredible that Woolridge can't beat Pearl out for a spot in the rotation
maybe woolridge will be like Samson with the afro hes growing
BWill
is playing like he is on a mission. Let’s hope his lengthy suspension had the desired effect and he has ended forever his relationship with the demon weed.
"It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart. The game begins in the spring, when everything else begins again, and it blossoms in the summer, filling the afternoons and evenings, and then as soon as the chill rains come, it stops and leaves you to face the fall alone." A. Bartlett Giamatti
yeah, you can tell he is trying to be more agressive
jamming it when he can. which is good considering his touch otherwise isn’t so good. but he is agressive on the boards and is playing pretty good D
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