What's Tennessee's best case scenario for 2010?
by Joel Hollingsworth on Apr 19, 2010 8:05 AM EDT
in Rocky Top Talking Points
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PrintTalking Points for 4/19/10:
- Mark Wiedmer thinks the Vols could win anywhere from five to nine games this season. The best case scenario involves a 3-0 start against Tennessee-Martin, Oregon, and Florida, which still sounds just outside the realm of reasonable possibility to me. What do y'all think?
- Nothing new yet (other than rumors, which suggest it's nothing major) on the Darren Myles incident. Stay tuned. [Update from Will 10:49 AM EDT - KNS reports Myles was charged with public intoxication, disorderly conduct, and resisting arrest. Myles, 19, was apparently riding on the hood of a car in the parking lot of Sobu on Kingston Pike, after being removed from the building by bouncers. More info at the link above.]
- Wes Rucker says that with the exception of Bryce Brown, Aaron Douglas, and Nick Stephens, the team has bought in to Derek Dooley. If so, chalk up another victory against long odds for Precious, the first being the #9 recruiting class despite the thing taking on water three weeks from the finish line.
The speech was short and upbeat, but still long and serious enough to transport the Tennessee football team from a post-game spring locker room all the way to the fall.
Coach Derek Dooley practically whispered for emphasis as he told players what the consensus expectations would be. In a couple of paraphrased words, "not much."
. . . .UT should be a consensus pick to finish no higher than fourth in the SEC East. There probably will be more predictions of 4-8 than 8-4.
Dooley’s final spring message: Think about those expectations and predictions.
The revelation suddenly turns the tables on one of UT’s most respected leaders. Now, Wilson needs his teammates just like they needed him in 1998 when the Vols won a national championship for the first time in 47 years.Actually, clarify that. He needs them more than they needed him, and the statement is true of fans as well. Prayers for Al and his son.
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9-3 would be a lot about not tripping up somewhere
If you assume we’re taking an L against Alabama, the Vols would need to beat either Oregon/Florida at home and beat either LSU/Georgia on the road, and then win the rest of them. I could see us playing one of those really special games right out of the gate against Oregon, and I could see us beating Georgia again. I’m just not sure we’d be consistent enough to run the table on everyone else.
I'm with you
I can’t see us beating Alabama, LSU/Georgia consecutively, or Oregon/Florida consecutively. Other than that, I think the best case has us winning them all. And if we take 4-5 losses against that group, I think we do win them all. But if we get the shocking wins, it’s hard not to see us taking a loss against someone good but unexpected (like Carolina, Ole Miss, or even Kentucky). If we’re talking about realism, I think 8-4 is the best plausible case.
by Incipient_Senescence on Apr 19, 2010 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions
I voted 8-4 as well
Even under the best possible scenario, we might upset a team or two but we’ll probably drop one we shouldn’t as well. I would be thrilled with a bowl this year, an 8-4 record and we need to build Dooley a statue. A big one.
So Sayth King Zach I
by kingofzachland on Apr 19, 2010 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions
First year under Dooley
I’ll say 9 and 3. That woud be great season with Dooley!
by Wayne A.Bolton on Apr 19, 2010 10:56 AM EDT reply actions
I wanted to vote
19-0, but there was no choice for that.
Separately, 28% of the population is delusional, according to a study by reputable scientists
12-0, 11-1, 10-2., 9-3 Really? Are you people seriously thinking that’s within the real of possibility, best case, etc?
And for those who’d question my fandom, I just bought one of those mini-pack deals for the Oregon, Ole Miss and Kentucky games. They figured by the Kentucky game that I might jump from one of those upper deck sections, so they put me on row 8 in section D for that one.
I’m going to the games. I will paint my daughter’s face orange and scream until I have no voice remaining. But it will still be sort of like watching the aftermath of a car accident. You know you shouldn’t go over (to Knoxville) and look, but you do anyway. I hope that I am pleasantly surprised, but the cupboard is really, really bare on the O Line.
9-3 is forgivable
I almost said that, but went with 8-4 instead. We are talking about best case. That said, 5-7 and 4-8 are equally insane when we’re talking about best case scenarios. So that’s 3 more percent that’s certifiable.
by Incipient_Senescence on Apr 19, 2010 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions
IS, you are right: I should have picked up the 5-7 and 4-8 as well
as well as the trolls because trolls are always insane.
Locks as Losses:
Florida
Bama
LSU
Certainly at least one from this group:
Oregon, Ole Miss, Kentucky, S Carolina, or Jaw-Ja.
Best case, stars align, is 8-4.
Personally, I’d be thrilled with 6-6 given where our OL is and breaking in a new QB with a new system and new coaching staff against other loaded teams in the SEC.
In it's most literal interpretation
The best case would have to be 12-0. Can’t do better than winning all your games!
The realistic best case is 8-4. I firmly believe it’s going to be a wild year in the SEC East and I will believe that Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina are better than us when I see it.
I voted 7-5.
BUT you guys have a chance to sneak up on some people this year. Teams like UT will be in 2010 always do. You’ll definitley beat someone you aren’t supposed to, I think Dooley is the real deal. He’s finally at a school where he can recruit. Lots of upside to his hiring.
War Eagle, Beat Bama
War Eagle
Seems we're in agreement
…give or take a game. And an “Amen” for beating Bama, though it’s very difficult to sneak up on someone while wearing orange. Believe me, I’ve tried.
So Sayth King Zach I
by kingofzachland on Apr 19, 2010 8:46 PM EDT up reply actions
you may say i'm a dreamer
but, i’m not the only one… 12 dubba yews!
/smacks self for John Lennon quote/
...and we shall eat only the red skittles...
by thetennesseethumper on Apr 21, 2010 7:35 PM EDT reply actions
No Crompton-No Hardesty
Whether you loved him(the one crazy guy) or you hated him, Crompton was the wild card to last season that none of us saw coming. He forced defensing to actually ponder the thought of us completing a pass which changed the game against Florida, Bama, etc. Without that, we would’ve easily finished sub .500 in my opinion.
Add Hardesty’s reliable performance and we had the perfect storm for overachievement. I don’t see that this year. That is not taking anything away from Dooley and his staff, I just think the reality of our talent pool combined with a challenging schedule and I see a 6-6 season at best. I dream for more, though!
Go VOLS!!!!
"Everything we're going to do is going to be done with a foundation of integrity with every aspect of the program. We're going to represent Tennessee with class on and off the field." Coach Derek Dooley
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