Chris Low: 7-5 is best case scenario for Tennessee
Look, I like Chris Low. I think he's extremely knowledgeable, was among the very best on UT when he covered the Vols exclusively, and anybody that's got a picture of Larry Bird in their office is alright in my book.
But 7-5, "eight wins with the bowl game" as a BEST CASE scenario?
I agree with Low that 4-8 is a worst case scenario, because there's just no way we should lose to Tennessee-Martin, UAB, Tiger High or Vandy. And I agree that playing well in the Oregon game is absolutely critical. But I still think the best case scenario for this team has to be higher than just 7-5. Split Oregon and Florida, split LSU and Georgia, that's 9 wins. If we get and make some breaks, that's the best case scenario to me.
almost 2 years ago
Will Shelton
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Do I need to guarantee a win over Georgia again???
"I condone fun things" ~~ Cortland Finnegan
Hello ladies. Look at your man, now back to me, now back at your man, now back to me. Sadly, he isn't me.
Don't worry.
I’ve already ticked off the Dawg fans at church. That’s as good as a guarantee.
Guaranteeing a Tennessee win over Georgia in 2010 looks like a better bet today . . .
. . . than declaring a Tennessee win over Georgia in 2009 would have looked a year ago, and we all know how that turned out for all concerned.
Derek Dooley will run a program much like the one his father ran in Athens, and, if there was any hallmark to Vince Dooley football, it was consistent, fundamentally sound play. While Coach Dooley pere split his share of big games, he rarely lost games he was supposed to win; Coach Dooley fils is a good bet to follow that same template, and the Georgia game is one he ought to win this year.
The timing of the game strongly favors Tennessee. Georgia will host the Volunteers seven days after the Bulldogs have played at Colorado. The “Coors hangover” that adversely affects many major league pitchers in their next start after pitching a game against the Colorado Rockies as a member of the visiting team likely will find a gridiron analogue in the Red and Black following their trip to Boulder to play a football game in the thin air.
There’s very little chance Georgia will be physically at its best against Tennessee, and Georgia will need to be physically at its best to win that game. I wouldn’t go so far as to guarantee a Bulldog loss, but I’m much more concerned about the Big Orange this year than I was last year, and I can’t recall ever seeing the Volunteers play a poorer game against Georgia than I anticipated they would. Mark me down as officially very concerned about Tennessee.
Go 'Dawgs!
Steele
What do you make of Phil Steele being so high on Georgia this year? Is it just because the SEC East is either down or up for grabs? Or is it because he’s over-estimating some aspect of the Dawgs’ 2010 team?
by Joel Hollingsworth on May 31, 2010 7:37 AM EDT up reply actions
While I enjoy Phil Steele's work, his modus operandi is to make 60 eyebrow-raising predictions . . .
. . . knowing that, if he’s right on five of them, he’ll look like a genius. He says South Carolina is a darkhorse national title contender but Georgia is a top eight team in his two best sets of power rankings. If either the Bulldogs or the Gamecocks exceed expectations, he’ll get to claim credit, no matter which team wins the Georgia-South Carolina game.
If you’re looking for things to like about Georgia, you can point to an experienced offensive line, a talented tight end corps, one of the best punter/kicker combinations in the country, a running game that came on strong toward the end of last season, and A.J. Green. In addition to being thin at wide receiver and linebacker, though, the Red and Black have question marks under center and on the defense.
In a way, we’re in a similar situation to y’all. No one seriously doubts that Derek Dooley is a better head coach than Lane Kiffin, but it may take some time for him to get the Tennessee program where he wants it to be. Likewise, no one seriously doubts that Todd Grantham is a better defensive coordinator than Willie Martinez, but it may take some time for him to get the 3-4 installed.
I believe Steele is assuming the defense will come together quickly and Aaron Murray will live up to the recruiting hype. I wouldn’t be surprised to see one of those two things happen, but expecting both to happen seems unrealistic to me, and Georgia will have exactly one week to grow into a complete team in order to avoid an 0-1 start in SEC play. I don’t see it happening. I think we’ll see substantial on-field improvement over the course of the season, but it won’t start to show up in the Bulldogs’ won-lost record until 2011.
Go 'Dawgs!
I'm thinking SEC East wasteland.
That, and offensive lines mean a whole heck of a lot (example one: Oklahoma), especially to Steele. If you close your eyes and squint a bit, come June you can talk yourself into Georgia being a poor man’s 2009 Alabama.
Steele seems to have an infatuation with South Carolina for reasons I don’t get – the whole offensive line thing yet again. That being said, I haven’t gotten into it too much yet.
Simulated Gameday Experience - just like the real thing, only we have smoke machines.
by Chris Pendley on Jun 1, 2010 6:49 PM EDT up reply actions
Will, I gotta agree with 7-5
We have no established lines on either side of the ball. When Dooley was asked about DT, he said that we really don’t have one and lamented that there wasn’t anybody over 285 on the roster. Some size would be helpful if Bama wants to run it down our throats. And, we’ve talked a lot about our O line, new QB and relatively new backfield.
Splitting Oregon/Florida and LSU/Georgia might be a best case scenario in a very good year, but we have the 10th or 12th rated QB in the league and no OL – along with a thin DL.
If we are talkin’ miraculous instead of semi-realistic best case, then maybe 9-3 sounds just as believable as 12-0 but I think Chris Low is actually right on this one.
For the record, I think we're going to go 6-6
But if we’re dealing with best case, I think we have to give ourselves a little more credit
by Will Shelton on May 28, 2010 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions
Splitting two games with conference / national title contenders seems a bit optimistic to me.
I’d see best case at 8-4, but I don’t think we can split the Oregon/Florida combo.
Also, I’d say 5-7 is the worst-case, because I’ll believe we’ll lose to Kentucky in football when I see it … and I haven’t seen it as far back as I can remember.
Simulated Gameday Experience - just like the real thing, only we have smoke machines.
by Chris Pendley on May 28, 2010 6:54 PM EDT up reply actions
I think six games is quite gettable.
But look at our lines. Going beyond seven wins, I cannot see. (I would also like to be wrong.)
________________________________
I will give my shirt for Tennessee today.
by Holly Anderson on May 29, 2010 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions
I'm expecting six, maybe seven wins
With win-the-lottery best case, eight or nine wins. But I’ve never won the lottery.
I do like our defensive line, though. The DEs are excellent and deep, and Hughes in the middle is strong. Starter at the other tackle (if we have one) and depth in the middle is a concern, but I’m not nearly as concerned on the defensive side of the trench as I am on the offensive side. Although — Polyanna alert — there is some talent there; almost entirely devoid of experience, yes, but there’s talent. And most of ‘em are young, so by the time they’re upperclassmen, they may be the most experienced line in the conference.
See? We’re winning it all in 2013!
by Joel Hollingsworth on May 29, 2010 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions
If it's the best case scenario, I think the ceiling is eight
UTM, UAB, Memphis and Vandy are wins. Best case, Carolina, Ole Miss, and Kentucky are wins too (none of those are worse than 50-50 or 40-60 right now). Best case, you have to think we get at least one upset against Oregon (at home) or teams coached by Mark Richt and Les Miles, right?
by Incipient_Senescence on May 30, 2010 9:40 AM EDT up reply actions
An eight win season with the sixth best talent in the SEC? I don't think so.
The two SEC assistants interviewed agreed that UT is – at best – the sixth most talented team in the league.
Best-case scenario: 13-0
Worst case: 0-13
by golfballs03 on May 28, 2010 7:01 PM EDT reply actions 2 recs
Season Results
I am looking forward to an 8-4 finish, mabey better!…..GO VOLS
by Wayne A.Bolton on May 29, 2010 10:14 AM EDT reply actions
Anyone who wins just 7 games will be given another year
but with conditions about having to improve
Nobody at UT, UGA, or UF will ever accept 7-8 wins under any circumstances….those who disagree are not living in reality
If we had more than 75 scholarship players (85 is the max) and hadn't just endured Kiffin and Fulmer, you might be right
BUT I AM CERTAIN THIS YEAR that more than half of the VolNation would be thrilled to the point of losing our voices and a nearly complete loss of sanity if we somehow achieved an 8 win season in Dooley’s initial term under these trying circumstances.
Because if that happened, it’d be like Cats and Dogs Sleeping together….Here’s where I wish I had the Bill Murray “Cats and Dogs Sleeping Together” quote on video clip…
For you to suggest otherwise is to completely lack any sense of context on the state of the Tennessee football program. REALITY /grip /slip /smash /dang (Allous)
pardon the random CAPS LOCK /picture please
by memphispete on May 31, 2010 10:41 PM EDT up reply actions























