Are You Smarter Than A Computer?

by bobothevol on Aug 30, 2010 8:36 PM EDT

So, kidbourbon brought it up, and places like AccuScore already do it, so I thought: heck, why not? Why not simulate ten first-weeks using my copy of NCAA Football 2011 and see what the Computer picked out for upset specials and scores and all that who-jazz. Now, I'll go ahead and note: these numbers are very crude, especially the "confidence" percentage, which just represents how many times the team actually won across all ten simulations.

But I digress. I selected a few -- 15, in fact -- opening week games to keep track of. The Tennessee game, of course, the big battles, and a few smaller ones that caught my interest. Care to play pick'em against my XBox? I wonder who, over the course of the year, might do better..? (Speaking of which, I guess I should try to enter my XBox into RTT's College Pick'em thingie. If only I knew how ... ::hint hint hint::

Matchup	Score	Confidence	Average Score
Tennessee vs UT-Martin	52 - 7	10 - 0	43.5 - 1.6
Pittsburgh @ Utah	52 - 13	5 - 5	25.6 - 26.3
Southern Miss @ South Carolina	24 - 23	2 - 8	15.5 - 30.7
USC @ Hawai'i	27 - 13	9 - 1	30.5 - 17.8
Kansas State vs UCLA	24 - 6	6 - 4	21.8 - 19
Oregon vs New Mexico	27 - 10	9 - 1	37.1 - 12.8
Northwestern @ Vanderbilt	24 - 17	6 - 4	21.3 - 22.6
Connecticut @ Michigan	29 - 23	3 - 7	19.9 - 33
Notre Dame vs Purdue	24 - 13	4 - 6	19.5 - 18.9
Washington @ BYU	38 - 26	10 - 0	36.2 - 20
Colorado @ Colorado State	27 - 0	7 - 3	26.1 - 16.5
TCU vs Oregon State	38 - 35	5 - 5	24.5 - 25.2
North Carolina @ LSU	23 - 20	6 - 4	19 - 19.3
Virginia Tech vs Boise State	28 - 3	3 - 7	20.8 - 30.5
Louisville vs Kentucky	19 - 7	5 - 5	21.1 - 21.7

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