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Tennessee's Basketball Offense is Doomed, DOOMED I TELL YOU

SI.com says nice things about Tobias Harris:

While plenty of prospects in this draft class have seen their stock rise simply by virtue of others withdrawing, Harris has actually improved standing by being more closely evaluated since the season ended.

One of the youngest players in this draft at age 18, Harris was a top-10 recruit who played arguably the most consistent basketball of any freshman in his class this year -- not an easy thing to do considering the tumultuous circumstances he was in. As scouts revisited his season and reports on his outstanding work ethic circulated, Harris' name slowly rose up draft boards, to the point that he may now be a lottery pick.

Ultra polished and extremely mature, Harris always had the feel of a one-and-done prospect, which made it no surprise at all to see him decide to keep his name in the draft.

Harris's departure, of course, along with that of Scotty Hopson and six seniors, along with a couple of recruits changing their mind or failing to get on campus, means that Tennessee loses 79% of its scoring and 73% of its rebounding from last season. Oh, no! If we lose 79% of our scoring, we're only going to score 11% 21% (!) of the points we scored under Bruce Pearl, which means Cuonzo Martin must be a really horrible coach and should definitely be fired this summer so we can get a real coach.

Some folks' conclusions are not quite that drastic, but the reasoning is similarly flawed. The departure of a player who scored half of a team's points never means that half the points are gone. The dynamic changes. Last year's role players, who deferred to last year's scorers, (hopefully) no longer defer and seize the opportunity to switch roles and become scorers themselves.There are fresh new opportunities for the players next season. The departure creates a vacuum, but the vacuum creates opportunities.

Yes, even though it doesn't necessarily mean that a team won't score as many points as it did the prior year, it also doesn't mean that the team will. Perhaps last year's role players won't be as prolific as the outgoing players, but you just can't conclude the team has no offense because last year's leading scorer hit 20 PPG and the returning leading scorer only hit 8. The returner may not get 20 next year, but he likely won't get just 8, either.

Anyway, on to the etceteras: John Adams says essentially that the sentiment behind replacing Mike Hamilton with Phillip Fulmer as AD is because no one knows any better. Dang, Willie Gault is still faster than me. Reggie Cobb, Heath Shuler, and Scott Gaylon are among 10 inductees to the 2011 Greater Knoxville Sports Hall of Fame.

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100 - 79 = ??

I believe that the point you were trying to make is that if we lose 79% of our offense, we’ll have 21% of our offense remaining (not 11% as stated in your article).:)

by rkastens on May 10, 2011 7:49 AM EDT reply actions  

Ah, yes

That’s some pre-6:30 AM math, right there. Fixing now. Thanks.

by Joel Hollingsworth on May 10, 2011 8:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

I disagree...

he might be terrible, but the guy would actually care about winning games…

I’m beginning to suspect we have a bunch of folks running things at UT who are simply concerned with saving money.

by Caban on May 10, 2011 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

has he shown any ability in that sort of role

and do we have reason to believe that he would care about winning basketball games? and do we have reasons to believe that excessive loyalty would be a problem?

by Incipient_Senescence on May 10, 2011 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

I cannot believe Willie Gault is 50 years old.

That makes me feel really old. Oddly, it is not when I hit certain milestones (30, 35, etc.) that makes me feel old but when I hear things like this.

Lou Brock loves Lamp.

by birdjam on May 10, 2011 11:26 AM EDT reply actions  

*star players*

Hey, bad guys. Look up in the sky. See the UAV? Nope? We see you. "Don't laze me, bro'!"

by memphispete on May 11, 2011 1:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

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