South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Arkansas Razorbacks statistical game preview and prediction

Streeter Lecka

The Vols are off this week, so we put the statsy preview through a preliminary test on the next opponent, South Carolina, instead.

With Tennessee having a much-deserved week off, there is no statsy preview today. Instead, we'll try to get a bead on the next opponent to see the degree to which next week's statsy preview can be relied on. Here's the head-to-head machine for this week's game between the South Carolina Gamecocks and the Arkansas Razorbacks. Caveats, people.

South Carolina Arkansas Comps Result against Comps Prediction
Closest Lower Closest Higher Closest Lower Closest Higher
Team Team Team Team
Rank Value Rank Value Rank Value Rank Value
South Carolina rushing offense vs. Arkansas rushing defense 27 215.4 30 124.5 Georgia None Georgia None 240
42 139.2 226
South Carolina passing offense vs. Arkansas passing defense 45 261 46 215 None UCF None UCF 265
42 212.8 265
South Carolina rushing defense vs. Arkansas rushing offense 34 127.8 24 216 Georgia None Georgia None 230
28 214.8 227
South Carolina passing defense vs. Arkansas passing offense 72 237.2 111 175.3 None Kentucky None Kentucky 240
73 226.6 178
South Carolina scoring offense vs. Arkansas scoring defense 61 31 43 23.5 Kentucky UCF Kentucky UCF 31
59 25.6 16 16.6 35 28
South Carolina scoring defense vs. Arkansas scoring offense 60 25.8 87 26 North Carolina UCF North Carolina UCF 21
96 23.6 51 31.8 10 25
Score Rushing Yards Passing Yards Total Yards
South Carolina 31 240 265 505
Arkansas 21 230 240 470

Arkansas' rushing defense and rushing offense is the best that South Carolina will have faced all season. The Hogs' passing defense and passing offense is the worst it will have faced all season. All of that works out to the two teams being fairly even in yards for the game.

But South Carolina is better at turning those yards into all-important points, so the prediction is South Carolina 31, Arkansas 21, which doesn't sound too bad until you account for the current line, which has the Gamecocks as only a six-point favorite. The over/under is 51, though, so that's about right.

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