With Tennessee having a much-deserved week off, there is no statsy preview today. Instead, we'll try to get a bead on the next opponent to see the degree to which next week's statsy preview can be relied on. Here's the head-to-head machine for this week's game between the South Carolina Gamecocks and the Arkansas Razorbacks. Caveats, people.
|South Carolina||Arkansas||Comps||Result against Comps||Prediction|
|Closest Lower||Closest Higher||Closest Lower||Closest Higher|
|South Carolina rushing offense vs. Arkansas rushing defense||27||215.4||30||124.5||Georgia||None||Georgia||None||240|
|South Carolina passing offense vs. Arkansas passing defense||45||261||46||215||None||UCF||None||UCF||265|
|South Carolina rushing defense vs. Arkansas rushing offense||34||127.8||24||216||Georgia||None||Georgia||None||230|
|South Carolina passing defense vs. Arkansas passing offense||72||237.2||111||175.3||None||Kentucky||None||Kentucky||240|
|South Carolina scoring offense vs. Arkansas scoring defense||61||31||43||23.5||Kentucky||UCF||Kentucky||UCF||31|
|South Carolina scoring defense vs. Arkansas scoring offense||60||25.8||87||26||North Carolina||UCF||North Carolina||UCF||21|
|Score||Rushing Yards||Passing Yards||Total Yards|
Arkansas' rushing defense and rushing offense is the best that South Carolina will have faced all season. The Hogs' passing defense and passing offense is the worst it will have faced all season. All of that works out to the two teams being fairly even in yards for the game.
But South Carolina is better at turning those yards into all-important points, so the prediction is South Carolina 31, Arkansas 21, which doesn't sound too bad until you account for the current line, which has the Gamecocks as only a six-point favorite. The over/under is 51, though, so that's about right.