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Around SBN: The Ten Worst Swings Of The 2011 Season

On tails and the kicking and chewing thereof: Tennessee Volunteers 25, Vanderbilt Commodores 24

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Tail-kickin'

In the beginning, it was just like old times. The Tennessee offense and defense were both tearing it up against its in-state rival, stringing together four excellent series back-to-back-to-back-to-back. As he has done most of this season, Erik Ainge spent the first series on offense dissecting the opposing defense with surgical precision (tossing a 19-yard pass to Austin Rogers here, a 20-yard pass to Lucas Taylor and a 13-yard pass to Josh Briscoe there), balance (handing off to Arian Foster for large chunks of yards at a time, including a 17-yarder on his first carry), and power (converting a QB keeper on fourth and one). The defense was playing just as well, looking more like it did against Arkansas and Georgia than it did against Florida and Alabama. After only four series, Tennessee had piled up 122 yards on offense and held Vanderbilt to 17 yards. Everything was clicking.

A different kind of tail-kickin'

Well, almost everything. After Tennessee's first drive touchdown, Daniel Lincoln kicked the point after attempt so ridiculously low that it hit a flat-footed defensive lineman smack in his bulging neck. Coach Fulmer said after the game that the attempt was so low that "it's a wonder it didn't hit the center in the butt." Maybe Lincoln was bored and was trying to skim it off Josh McNeil's tailbone, but . . . wow. Lincoln's next kick wasn't much better: when the Vols' second drive stalled at the 24, he bounced one off the right upright in the wrong direction. Tennessee was dominating on both sides of the ball but the score wasn't 14-0. It wasn't 10-0 or even 7-0. It was 6-0. The Volunteers had squandered the bulk of opportunity 122 yards of offense normally presents.

A kick in the tail

Squandering opportunity is the enemy of momentum. Tennessee's next drive was three plays long for a whopping eight yards, and Vanderbilt answered with an epic 17-play, 78-yard drive that took 9:02 (!) off the clock. Just like that the Commodores were up 7-6.

Ainge did lead the Vols down the field 60 yards in 14 plays on the team's next series, but they stalled out at the 17. Lincoln actually squeezed one through the uprights without hitting anything else in the process, and the Vols were back on top 9-6, but that was as good as it would get for an uncomfortably long period of time.

Vandy took the next drive 76 yards for another touchdown, regained the lead, and continued to administer the whoopin'. When Tennessee tried to make something of the 42 seconds left in the half, it turned an incomplete outlet pass in enemy territory into a fumbled lateral. What an odd site to see Vandy running into the locker room up 17-9.

Tail Chewin' and Extraction

The locker room at halftime was apparently not a happy place. Reports variously describe Fulmer in fiery terms. Either he "reignited" the team or he "raked them over the coals." Whatever your word choice, the point is that he was hot. But Demonte Bolden and Jerod Mayo were sticking to the tail theme: One or both of them laid into the team and told them that they had "to get [their] heads out of [their] butts and go play football."

Such a manuever is apparently a slow process, because Vanderbilt went right back to work at the top of the third quarter and ripped off a 75-yard touchdown drive to extend the lead to 24-9. Tennessee could only answer with 19 yards and yet another punt.

Back to tail-kickin'

And then finally, finally, the defense regained a fresh perspective and found some traction by holding Vanderbilt to 13 yards and a 39-yard punt on its second series in the third quarter. The offense, though, was a little more broke, and like many things that aren't working quite right (think the Millennium Falcon), they just needed a good whack.

Enter Vanderbilt's Broderick Stewart. The offense was only flirting with signs of life when Britton Colquitt came in to punt after yet another stalled drive. Colquitt absolutely nailed a 56-yarder, but more importantly, Stewart absolutely nailed Colquitt, and the officials assessed a 15-yard roughing the kicker penalty against him. It was just what Tennessee's offense needed: a taste of momentum and a second chance. This time, they made the most out of it and cut the lead to eight.

The defense then held Vandy to three and out on consecutive series. After one more futile drive, the offense drove 83 yards in ten plays, and Ainge capped things off with a five yard TD pass to Austin Rogers. The two-point conversion attempt failed, but the Vandy lead was now down to two, 24-22. The clock was ticking, however, and the defense needed to come through. They did, holding the 'Dores to yet another three and out, and Dennis Rogan returned the ensuing punt 45 yards to the 33 yard line. Ainge got the team to the 16, and Lincoln put Tennessee up by one with a 33-yard field goal. The Vols led 25-24 with 2:34 left to play.

But yikes, Vandy returned the next kickoff 55 yards and would have had a touchdown had Dennis Rogan not strung the thing out, fought through a blocker, and forced the return guy out of bounds at the UT 42. Time and space were once again working against the Vols. The Commodores were practically in field goal position already,  and they could milk the clock, leaving Tennessee with almost no time left to try any further heroics.

And yikes again, the defense then committed what appeared to be a game-deciding mistake: on third and eight at the 40 (the equivalent of a 58-yard FG attempt), Vandy QB Mackenzi Adams threw incomplete to Bryant Anderson, but Tennessee's DeAngelo Willingham interfered and gave Vandy nine yards (making it the equivalent of a 49-yard FG attempt), a brand new set of downs, and the extra time that goes along with such things. Jerod Mayo, though, taking his own half-time advice, teamed up with fellow linebacker Ryan Karl on the next play to drive Adams' pass to Justin Wheeler back for a four-yard loss. Vandy got the four yards back but no more, and on fourth down the field goal attempt was a none-too-easy 49 yarder.

He just missed. Game over, Vols win, 25-24. To kick butt you sometimes have to chew a little first.

Flash stats after the jump.

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In the AP poll - steady at #19.  I'm going to assume that we don't appreciably move in the BCS either - we were already one of the top two 3-loss teams, not counting Florida.  However, there should be considerable distance between UT and the teams behind them.  With Michigan, Cincinnati, and Kentucky losing, it'd be very difficult to lose any ground.  Also, we might bump ahead of Clemson by virtue of their loss, but it won't mean a whole lot.

If we beat Kentucky, we'll probably be at about #15 going into the Conference Championship weekend.  To really project into the future, a win over LSU might get us as high as #10, but our ceiling is probably closer to #12.  I'll be happy with a Kentucky win, whether or not we beat LSU.  At least it would put us into position for a higher bowl game, and would give us something to be proud of - ending higher than Florida and Georgia is always a good thing, no matter how it happens.

Of course, if we lose to Kentucky, that last paragraph is moot.

by David Hooper on Nov 18, 2007 6:18 PM EST reply actions  

One other thing
Regarding all the negative publicity we attempted: I think the true answer is that our team best responds to legitimate negative talk.  Our attempts to generate some badmouthing for the sake of badmouthing were wasted.  Once we saw 24-9 and were beginning to badmouth in earnest (admit it, you were), then the team began to respond.  So, if you aren't honestly griping about the team, don't bother.  We might as well be supportive and honest with ourselves rather than try to pull that stunt again.

by David Hooper on Nov 18, 2007 6:20 PM EST reply actions  

MISSED FIELDGOAL BY INCHES IS GOOD AS A MILE
Boy I missed the score on this Game more than a mile to. 45-10 was not even close. I don't think I will make any more score predictions. I will leave that to the experts Joel and CFAJ. But I would rather be Lucky than good sometimes, thanks  to Lady Luck for the win this week.  I recon a miss is as good as a mile.  Wooooooooo that was a close one. GO VOLS BEAT THE CATS !!!!!!
OLD SMOKEY

by old smokey on Nov 18, 2007 9:08 PM EST reply actions  

BCS Watch
Now that we have one week to play, it's worth taking a peek at the BCS and seeing how things might play out.  We're currently #18 in the BCS, thanks to the computer rankings.  We're reasonably close to Illinois - the only non-Florida team with 3 losses ranked higher than us.  They're done playing, so passing them will only be due to a good performance in the Kentucky game.

IF we win that game, here are some things that can help us out:

  • Virginia losing to Virginia Tech:  UVA is 2 above us, and a lose would likely pole-vault us above them.  The loss is likely, as VTech is a much better team and UVA has played a very weak schedule.  Also, we would not move above VTech if UVA wins (unless it's an extraodinary weekend, that is).  So, this weekend, we are all VTech fans.  RATING: LIKELY
  • Hawaii losing to Boise State OR Washington:  Both games are road games for the Warriors.  Both are against good teams, unlike the previous 10 games for Hawaii.  The Warriors don't play as well on the road for the same reason other teams don't play well in Hawaii - it's a huge commute.  Beating these two teams would improve their poll standings incredibly - especially in the computers.  Losing one (or both) would have the opposite effect.  This is the team with the most to gain or lose.  RAING: LIKELY
  • Boston College losing to Miami:  BC is 3 slots ahead of us in both human polls, and 6 slots ahead of us in the computers.  Since Miami is relatively weak this year, a loss would probably knock them down just enough for us to jump over them.  RATING: UNLIKELY
  • Texas losing to Texas A&M:  Burnt Orange has had as shaky of a season as Big Orange, only with one fewer loss due to lesser competition.  A third loss here would be enough to justify the pollsters dropping them again.  The UT-TAMU game has produced some weird results, but this year TAMU is an absolute disaster.  RATING: UNLIKELY
  • Florida losing to Florida State:  At 3 losses, Florida will always remain ahead of us.  At 4 losses, they'll move behind us.  The computers love 'em because of the strength of schedule and the dominating wins they've produced.  FSU is a weak team this year, so a loss wouldn't look good.  Still... RATING: UNLIKELY
  • Oklahoma losing to Oklahoma State: The computers are showing signs of losing faith in the Sooners.  This loss would be their third, but late losses are worse not only because you can't recover from them, but pollsters don't like late-season downward trends.  If OU loses, they might stay above UT, but there's a possibility here.  RATING: UNLIKELY
  •  What about USC?  USC is currently rated higher than Oklahoma, but I didn't consider them because a loss here would be to Arizona State, who is highly ranked and would not be considered an upset.  USC has less to lose than Oklahoma, and their ratings are very close.  Nothing to worry about here.  HOWEVER: if USC loses to ASU, watch out for UCLA in their closer.  Two losses would put UT above them for certain.  Heck, one loss to UCLA might do the trick, even.
  •  Ok, but Oregon?  Same logic as USC: they play 2 more games (UCLA and Oregon State).  2 losses would put them behind us, but 1 might not.  It's not worth worrying about too much at this point.
  • Boise State?  This is the only team that could jump UT by winning.  They're close behind, and playing Hawaii is a better boost than Kentucky.  A Hawaii loss would give UT that bump, but it may cost them a place to BSU.  BSU has a lot of ground available in the CPU polls (the CPUs hate BSU right now).  It's a toss-up.
Prognosis: Ignoring USC for this weekend, there are 6 teams we could pass if they lose.  There is also Illinois we just might pass if we win.  That's 7 total we could possibly pass, and 1 that could possibly pass us.  A likelihood analysis (i.e. my current wild guess) says that we'll probably see 2 of those come true, with 3 being the next most likely number.  So, if we beat Kentucky, expect us to end up at 16 or 15.

And if we beat Kentucky, we cheer for VTech, Boise State, Miami (shudder), Texas A&M (shudder), Florida State (shudder), Oklahoma State, and Arizona State and UCLA (just in case).  We should also cheer for LSU to beat Arkansas.  If we win through Atlanta, that'd be the best help for us.  If not, we might as well have an SEC team in the big game.

Georgia?  I didn't grow up here, so I have no problem letting them beat GTech and putting 2 SEC teams as high up the BCS ladder as possible.  Besides, Richt runs a classy program (on-field TD celebration notwithstanding), so I can respect it.  I'll leave this one alone as I know how deep some emotions run here.

But first, we cheer for the Vols to beat Kentucky.  Otherwise, I just really wasted 5 minutes of my time writing this up.  ;)

by David Hooper on Nov 18, 2007 9:45 PM EST reply actions  

I agree...
Yeah...what...ya'll said.

No more badmouthing for the sake of badmouthing. That was kinda grasping at straws. I guess it was worth a shot though. Didn't hurt.

I honestly don't think there's any way that we make the BCS. Even beating LSU won't be enough, although it should be. In my opinion, the national championship should be the SEC winner and whatever other team is at the top every year, period! But, we all know that's just crazy talk.

Probably, the only way we play a January bowl game is if we win the SEC, and even then it might be a long shot.

And once the season is done, I think everybody will agree that we all want as many SEC teams in good bowls as possible (even those teams we despise). I'll be happy to see Georgia and LSU and anybody else do well. I'm REALLY hoping that Vandy wins next week so that we'll have every team in the conference(except poor Ole' Miss)bowl eligible. What other conference in the nation can claim that? NONE! So after Dec. 1, it's good luck to everyone.

All hail Jim Bob Cooter!

by XRayVol on Nov 19, 2007 2:23 PM EST reply actions  

I feel the same way
The conference is best served by having all the conference teams do as well as possible in bowl matchups - both winning the bowls and getting into the highest possible bowls.  The SEC will be hurt by the rule that a maximum of 2 teams can come from the same conference in any of the BCS games.  Assuming that Georgia and LSU win out, they'll get those two slots and Florida will be left out of the BCS, even though they'll probably be top 10 by the end of the year.  That's a lot of cash that the conference can't split, though whatever bowl Florida goes to will still pay well.

Even better: if UT did beat LSU, there'd be 4 SEC teams in BCS range.  UT would get the automatic conference champion slot, leaving LSU, Georgia, and Florida to fight over one BCS slot.  It might actually go to Georgia in that scenario.

But, once all the bowls are set, we root for whatever scenario makes the SEC look the best.  It only helps for future recruiting and bowl considerations.

by David Hooper on Nov 19, 2007 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Ooops,
When I said January bowl game, I meant BCS bowl game. Sorry.
All hail Jim Bob Cooter!

by XRayVol on Nov 19, 2007 2:25 PM EST reply actions  

Question
Why isn't Jerod Mayo one of the choices on the best player of the Vandy game poll?

In my opinion, he gets it hands down. He was EVERYWHERE. Whooo... Love that guy!

All hail Jim Bob Cooter!

by XRayVol on Nov 19, 2007 2:29 PM EST reply actions  

Um . . .
Oversight.

Fatique.

Sloth.

Stupidity.

Go Vols!

by Joel Hollingsworth on Nov 19, 2007 4:23 PM EST up reply actions  

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