Tennessee Volunteers v. Alabama Crimson Tide: stats comparison

by Joel on Jan 29, 2008 7:04 AM EST in Tennessee Volunteer Basketball Comment 3 comments

Well, I said that I was going to thieve an idea from Tru (nobody, nobody does basketball better than Tru), and here's the first attempt. It's not quite where I want it yet, but it will have to do for this morning. No deltas because I haven't yet figured out an efficient way to get the stats into a spreadsheet and doing the math manually, well . . . let's just call it "uncomfortably high probability of error." That, and "lazy." So . . .

Stats courtesy of StatSheet.com.


Rankings
Conf Standing	2		5
AP Rank	3		0
RPI	0.6836		0.5429
RPI Rank	1		94
SOS	0.6141		0.5533
SOS Rank	2		45
Wins & Losses
Overall	17-2	(89.5%)	12-8	(60.0%)
Home	11-0	(100.0%)	9-4	(69.2%)
Away	3-1	(75.0%)	1-3	(25.0%)
Neutral	3-1	(75.0%)	2-1	(66.7%)
Conference	4-1	(80.0%)	1-4	(20.0%)
Top 25	2-1	(66.7%)	0-3	(0.0%)
Blowout (> 19)	6-0	(100.0%)	3-1	(75.0%)
Close (< 6)	3-0	(100.0%)	2-2	(50.0%)
Overtime	0-0	(0.0%)	1-1	(50.0%)
NCAA Tourney	0-0	(0.0%)	0-0	(0.0%)
Scoring
Points	1606	(22)	1536	(46)
Points Per Game	84.5	(6)	76.8	(52)
Shooting
Field Goals Made	565	(29)	583	(13)
Field Goal Attempts	1213	(38)	1237	(25)
Field Goal Pct	46.6	(68)	47.1	(49)
Free Throws Made	298	(89)	228	(272)
Free Throw Attempts	463	(38)	385	(179)
Free Throw Pct	64.4	(286)	59.2	(334)
3pt FG Made	178	(16)	142	(113)
3pt FG Attempts	503	(16)	391	(124)
3pt FG Pct	35.4	(162)	36.3	(117)
Rebounds
Rebounds	732	(185)	822	(53)
Rebounds Per Game	38.5	(157)	41.1	(64)
Off Rebounds	266	(41)	274	(29)
Off Rebs Per Game	14.0	(28)	13.7	(43)
Def Rebounds	436	(215)	491	(72)
Def Rebs Per Game	22.9	(205)	24.6	(99)
Assists, Steals, & Blocks
Assists	378	(6)	329	(32)
Assists Per Game	19.9	(1)	16.5	(34)
Steals	207	(5)	143	(125)
Steals Per Game	10.9	(2)	7.2	(146)
Blocks	64	(153)	92	(43)
Blocks Per Game	3.4	(151)	4.6	(48)
Turnovers & Fouls
Turnovers	237	(312)	251	(282)
Turnovers Per Game	12.5	(312)	12.6	(310)
Fouls	378	(116)	320	(266)
Fouls Per Game	19.9	(85)	16.0	(308)

Stat	All Games		Conference Games
Stat					Comments
Total Games	19	20	5	5
Wins	17	12	4	1
Losses	2	8	1	4
Pct	0.895	0.6	0.8	0.2	'Bama not doing so well in conference
Field Goals Made	565	583	141	132
Field Goals Attempted	1213	1237	305	299
Field Goal Percentage	0.466	0.471	0.462	0.441
Free Throws Made	298	228	70	59
Free Throws Attempted	463	385	111	107
Free Throw Percentage	0.644	0.592	0.631	0.551	Wow. Somebody with a worse free throw shooting percentage than us!
3pt Field Goals Made	178	142	44	34
3pt Field Goals Attempted	503	391	118	113
3pt Field Goal Percentage	0.354	0.363	0.373	0.301	Looks like they can hit the three but are not doing nearly as well in conference
Points	1606	1536	396	357
Points Per Game	84.5	76.8	79.2	71.4	Pretty good advantage for Tennessee here
Rebounds	732	822	201	191
Rebounds Per Game	38.5	41.1	40.2	38.2
Offensive Rebounds	266	274	69	66
Offensive Rebounds Per Game	14	13.7	13.8	13.2
Defensive Rebounds	436	491	123	115
Defensive Rebounds Per Game	22.9	24.6	24.6	23
Assists	378	329	89	75
Assists Per Game	19.9	16.5	17.8	15	Decent advantage for the good guys
Steals	207	143	39	39
Steals Per Game	10.9	7.2	7.8	7.8	Here's something they do better in conference
Turnovers	237	251	65	63
Turnovers Per Game	12.5	12.6	13	12.6
Blocks	64	92	21	26
Blocks Per Game	3.4	4.6	4.2	5.2	Advantage, Alabama
Fouls	378	320	105	89
Fouls Per Game	19.9	16	21	17.8	Huh. Maybe we do foul "like on every possession" . . .
Disqualifications	0	5	0	2	. . . but we have the guys to do it!

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Comments

Num63er5!

Mmmmm...tasty numbers to digest this morning! Not quite "Lucky Charms" delicious, but yummy none the less. Me likey!

I didn't think it was possible to shoot a worse FT% than the Vols. Guess I was wrong.

by Aerobab on Jan 29, 2008 10:00 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

Quick hits:

Fouls per game A large part of this is a function of the style of play. When you pick up the pace and run a full court game intended to break down predesigned plays, you run a higher risk of fouls. If it works, the trade-off is worth it, though, so the fpg mark is not as troublesome as if we were a more traditional half-court team.
Steals per game Since only 4 conference games have been played, this one has a very high variance to it. (Well, so do the rest, but here goes anyhow.) Games like the Kentucky game where ball control was better executed drop our stats in a hurry on this one.
Blocks per game Yikes. Better hope we keep the pace up and don't rely too much on established plays.
Overall The signs point toward UT, obviously. It's not enough to assume a victory (to me, that's about 95% confidence), but it's enough to expect one (probability of winning greater than 50%). They should win this one. It's the Mississippi State game that we should be worried about. (Fatigue.)

by Hooper on Jan 29, 2008 10:34 AM EST reply actions 0 recs