HOMERISM REIGNS IN RTT ESPN BRACKET CHALLENGE

by Joel Hollingsworth on Mar 24, 2008 8:45 PM EDT in Tennessee Volunteer Basketball

Apologies for the unexpected day off. I'm putting a futon in the middle of the hall because I can't seem to make it from one end of the house to the other without completely wearing out. Add to that that I erupt into a convulsive coughing fit every time air rushes past my irritated throat. Fortunately, my stuffy head prevents most of my breathing, so there's that. Simply going through the work emails that accumulated since last Thursday and addressing the Priority One issues was cause for an extended afternoon nap. Anyway, I'm worn out, but I did manage this:

Results
RNK	ENTRY, OWNER	RD1	RD2	RD3	QUAR	SEMI	FINAL	PPR	TOTAL	PCT
1	Corn From A Jar, A. Katzer	240	260	0	0	0	0	1000	500	99.7
1	XRay Vol, J Horton III RTR	260	240	0	0	0	0	880	500	99.7
3	mcvay 7, d. mcvay	270	220	0	0	0	0	1000	490	99.3
4	Stuart, S. Shockley	240	240	0	0	0	0	1040	480	98.4
4	Crout 1, R. Crout	240	240	0	0	0	0	1040	480	98.4
4	jon@fulmersbelly, j. sohn	240	240	0	0	0	0	1000	480	98.4
4	Gus Manning's Briefcase, l. Gate 21	240	240	0	0	0	0	1000	480	98.4
4	KenPom's Pythag Bracket, R. Top Talk Rocky Top Talk	240	240	0	0	0	0	1000	480	98.4
4	RIP it up, P. Hastings	240	240	0	0	0	0	960	480	98.4
4	Mike Hunt, J. Houston	260	220	0	0	0	0	960	480	98.4
4	Oh, the horror!, J Horton III RTR	240	240	0	0	0	0	880	480	98.4

Woot to CfaJ and XRay Vol who are surviving and advancing. Both of them are proud owners of Total Homer Brackets, with Tennessee winning it all, so they must be more impaired than I am.

Pythag watch:

GAME	PREDICTED CHANCES OF WINNING	MISS
Indiana-Arkansas	96.11%-3.89%	Huge miss
Clemson-Villanova	19.73%-80.27%	Big miss
Vanderbilt-Siena	38.60%-61.40%	Miss
Villanova-Siena	compounded error (would have picked Siena incorrectly, 54%-46%)
Gonzaga-Davidson	93.86%-6.14%	Huge miss
Davidson-Georgetown	compounded error (would have picked Georgetown incorrectly, 94%-6%)
Miami-St. Mary's	66.43%-33.57%	Miss
Drake-Western Kentucky	7.42%-92.58%	Huge miss
Connecticut-San Diego	55.93%-44.07%	Miss?
Western Kentucky-San Diego	compounded error (would have picked Western KY correctly, 87%-13%)
West Virginia-Arizona	73.13%-26.87%	Big miss
West Virginia-Duke	compounded error (would have picked West VA correctly, 53%-47%)

Anyone see any commonalities among the misses? Note that the system's tied for fourth, so it's still much better than most. Conclusion? Only homerism and wild bearded men are better.

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