A weekly look at our upcoming opponent's recent history, with animated drive charts, links to SB Nation game pages, and statistical comparisons. Caveats.
Wait, what did that headline say? That there's a monster at the end of this preview? I hate monsters. So please, stop reading now.
Schedule and Animated Drive Charts
|Michigan Wolverines||9/1/12||win 41 - 14||coverage|
|Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||9/8/12||win 35 - 0||coverage|
|@ Arkansas Razorbacks||9/15/12||win 52 - 0||coverage|
|Florida Atlantic Owls||9/22/12||win 40 - 7||coverage|
|Mississippi Rebels||9/29/12||win 33 - 14||coverage|
|@ Missouri Tigers||10/13/12||win 42 - 10||coverage|
|@ N.C. State Wolfpack||8/31/12||win 35 - 21||coverage|
|Georgia State Panthers||9/8/12||win 51 - 13||coverage|
|Florida Gators||9/15/12||loss 20 - 37||coverage|
|Akron Zips||9/22/12||win 47 - 26||coverage|
|@ Georgia Bulldogs||9/29/12||loss 44 - 51||coverage|
|@ Mississippi St. Bulldogs||10/13/12||loss 31 - 41||coverage|
According to the NCAA's "Toughest Schedule" PDF, Tennessee's schedule is currently ranked 14th and Alabama's is 51st. That may be the last thing we're ahead of them in for the rest of this post.
You're still here? Maybe you don't fully understand what I'm saying. If you keep reading, you will eventually get to the end of the preview, and there is a MONSTER at the end of this preview. So STOP.
Here are the drive charts from two of the Tide's SEC games:
Animated Drive Chart brought to you by Gameday Depot.
Animated Drive Chart brought to you by Gameday Depot.
YOU'RE STILL HERE? STOP! WALK AWAY FROM YOUR COMPUTER! THERE IS A MONSTER AT THE END OF THIS PREVIEW!
National Unit Rankings
|Rushing Offense||25||217.17||Army||385.17||4||Texas A&M||235.83|
|Total Offense||52||423.00||Oklahoma St.||601.40||6||Texas A&M||543.67|
|Scoring Offense||17||40.50||Louisiana Tech||53.83||3||Texas A&M||47.00|
|Sacks Allowed||77||2.17||Air Force||.00||6||Tennessee||.50|
Offensive observations. Really, this isn't all that scary. Maybe you can go ahead. One more paragraph.
|Pass Efficiency Defense||1||80.99||Alabama||80.99||1||Alabama||80.99|
|Tackles For Loss||33||6.83||Tulsa||9.86||6||Missouri||8.43|
Defensive observations. ACK! MONSTER SCAT! Seriously, is that completely and entirely not fair?
So with that, I'm going to put up a brick wall so you HAVE to stop reading.
|SPECIAL TEAMS AND TURNOVERS RANKINGS|
|Net Punting||52||37.74||Texas A&M||44.71||9||Texas A&M||44.71|
|Punt Returns||31||11.43||Boston College||31.33||4||Missouri||20.53|
|Turnover Margin||T-1||2.17||Louisiana Tech||2.17||1||Alabama||2.17|
Special teams and turnovers observations. Nice going, you, getting through that brick wall and everything, but I can't even read that because I'm disoriented from monster stink.
Players to Watch
|Passing Efficiency (Min. 15 Att./Game)||A.J. McCarron||5||171.88|
|Total Offense||A.J. McCarron||81||189.67|
|Receptions Per Game||Amari Cooper||3.50|
|Receiving Yards Per Game||Amari Cooper||43.83|
Offensive Observations. Listen, just because the offensive players for Alabama are merely efficient and not machete-wielding psychopaths doesn't mean that they're not killing machines. You've seen The Terminator, right?
So stop. Please?
|Tackles For Loss||Ed Stinson||T-54||1.17|
Defense. Constellation, that. So many stars that none of them can get the spotlight.
|Punting (Min. 3.6 Punts/Game)|
|Punt Returns (Min. 1.2 Ret./Game)||Christion Jones||23||11.67|
|Kickoff Returns (Min. 1.2 Ret./Game)|
|Field Goals||Jeremy Shelley||T-49||1.17|
|All-Purpose Runners||Eddie Lacy||88.83|
Head to Head Comparisons
Listen, the NEXT section is the end of this preview, and there is a MONSTER at the end of this preview. So don't be a fool. Get up. Walk away. Turn off the computer. However you do it, DON'T KEEP READING.
Result Against Comps
|UT rush v. Alabama rush defense||183.33
|UT pass v. Alabama pass defense||299
|Alabama rush v. UT rush defense||178.83
|Alabama pass v. UT pass defense||251
|UT scoring offense v. Alabama scoring defense||38
|Alabama scoring offense v. UT scoring defense||31.50
Again with the caveats: These are informed guesses rather than mathematical calculations. But here's the general analytical framework: We are averaging X in a certain category. The opponent averages Y against that, which is most closely comparable to some identified previous opponent, against whom we did Z. All of that leads to an informed guess labeled as Prediction. And one more time for emphasis: The less data you have, the more sketchy the guess, and the guesses range from ALL CAPS SKETCHY WITH EXCLAMATION POINTS at the beginning of the season to merely lower case sketchy for the last game. We're somewhere in the middle.
So yeah, here's your monster.
But here's where we depart from Grover's telling of the story. Because while the monster is in fact US, we, unlike Grover, are actually kinda frightening, at least our defense is. Not only that, but Elmo's playing the part of Alabama this week, and he's outside the door with a pair of scissors, a roll of duct tape, and bad thoughts.
Semi-Serious but Sketchy Conclusions
- Tennessee's played a tougher schedule than Alabama, so woo for that.
- Alabama's offense is good, but it's not exactly elite. They're top 25 in rushing, but near the cellar in passing. Still, they somehow manage to rank in the top 20 in scoring. Efficiency, that.
- The Tide is off the charts spectacular on defense. First in rushing defense, pass efficiency defense, total defense, scoring defense, and pass defense. That's right, 1st. They stink at sacks and tackles for loss, ranking an embarrassing 11th and 33rd. Yes, you just wet yourself.
- Prepare for a frustrating evening when the Vols are on offense, but keep in mind that it's not necessarily our offense, but Alabama's defense. They do that to everybody. Go ahead and blame our defense for what happens to them.
- I have the Tide more than doubling the Vols in yards and winning by more than 30 points.
- But there's a chance. There's always a chance.
- Alabama 45, Tennessee 13