This here's the RTT Ready, Fire, Aim BlogPoll computer ballot. For a complete refresher on what we're doing, go here, here, here, and here. You can also hit the "blogpoll" tag below the post for a list of all of the related stories.
Prior tweaks to the system: (1) added experience ratings; (2) adjusted the weighting with a "square root of the sum of the squares." Why? I'll you why: I don't know. (3) revised the way tied teams were ranked; (4) began sorting the win/loss category based on losing percentage to hopefully alleviate the penalty to teams with early byes; (5) (a) adjusted the weighting of the win/loss factor and (b) adjusted the strength of schedule factor by subjecting the NCAA past opposition figures to a strength of conference rating. Conferences were divided into two categories: BCS and non-BCS; and (6) modified the Conference Ratings so that there were three categories instead of just BCS and non-BCS. The new categories are (a) the SEC and the Big12, (b) the other BCS conferences, and (c) the non-BCS conferences.
Tweaks for this week:
- None. The initial results triggered the need for investigation of certain teams, but did not reveal, to me anyway, any systemic problems. Anyone else see anything bizarre that might necessitate a system tweak this week?
- The categories again: Win/Loss, Strength of Schedule, Pass Efficiency Defense, Rush Defense, 3rd Down Offense, Total Defense, Pass Efficiency Offense, Experience, Opponents Points Per Game, Total Offense, and 3rd Down Defense. The AVG R column is Average Ranking, and the last column is Weighted Average.
- The current weighting of the categories: 100, 15, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1. Then tweaked by the square root of the sum of the squares manuever.
- Current spreadsheet here.
All right, then. The Top 31 (so you can see where some of the teams in the traditional polls ended up in the computer rankings), according to the computer:
Rank |
Team |
WL |
SOS |
PED |
RD |
3DO |
TD |
PEO |
EXP |
OPPG |
TO |
3DD |
AVG R |
W AVG |
1 |
Texas | 1 |
3 |
70 |
3 |
3 |
43 |
2 |
116 |
28 |
9 |
47 |
29.55 |
76.23 |
2 |
Alabama | 1 |
31 |
18 |
2 |
48 |
5 |
47 |
95 |
10 |
60 |
3 |
29.09 |
78.71 |
3 |
Texas Tech | 1 |
30 |
46 |
14 |
4 |
58 |
6 |
68 |
39 |
2 |
22 |
26.36 |
79.51 |
4 |
Oklahoma | 10 |
6 |
33 |
20 |
29 |
54 |
3 |
59 |
50 |
4 |
6 |
24.91 |
105.74 |
5 |
Penn St. | 1 |
59 |
3 |
13 |
9 |
8 |
21 |
38 |
3 |
12 |
10 |
16.09 |
109.66 |
6 |
Georgia | 10 |
2 |
57 |
6 |
33 |
21 |
22 |
90 |
36 |
25 |
37 |
30.82 |
111.10 |
7 |
Oklahoma St. | 10 |
10 |
50 |
37 |
22 |
64 |
4 |
45 |
42 |
8 |
46 |
30.73 |
113.27 |
8 |
Florida | 15 |
16 |
9 |
15 |
28 |
13 |
11 |
116 |
6 |
31 |
21 |
25.55 |
147.73 |
9 |
Boise St. | 1 |
76 |
2 |
42 |
31 |
19 |
9 |
114 |
4 |
29 |
7 |
30.36 |
149.58 |
10 |
Southern California | 15 |
40 |
1 |
10 |
18 |
1 |
8 |
72 |
1 |
13 |
4 |
16.64 |
157.40 |
11 |
Minnesota | 10 |
57 |
47 |
43 |
76 |
69 |
30 |
112 |
20 |
70 |
28 |
51.09 |
165.11 |
12 |
Florida St. | 15 |
52 |
23 |
7 |
13 |
3 |
73 |
53 |
18 |
38 |
1 |
26.91 |
171.84 |
13 |
Ohio St. | 18 |
19 |
8 |
18 |
41 |
9 |
52 |
59 |
8 |
95 |
53 |
34.55 |
173.88 |
14 |
TCU | 9 |
88 |
7 |
1 |
5 |
2 |
58 |
26 |
2 |
34 |
13 |
22.27 |
182.11 |
15 |
Utah | 1 |
100 |
43 |
9 |
38 |
6 |
23 |
14 |
30 |
35 |
5 |
27.64 |
187.77 |
16 |
North Carolina | 20 |
28 |
29 |
32 |
30 |
50 |
35 |
72 |
35 |
86 |
63 |
43.64 |
197.91 |
17 |
Michigan St. | 18 |
45 |
24 |
64 |
77 |
56 |
60 |
68 |
37 |
64 |
70 |
53.00 |
202.46 |
18 |
Missouri | 20 |
4 |
85 |
30 |
7 |
87 |
5 |
32 |
53 |
5 |
86 |
37.64 |
202.75 |
19 |
Georgia Tech | 20 |
53 |
14 |
19 |
60 |
12 |
36 |
109 |
7 |
72 |
68 |
42.73 |
214.99 |
20 |
Connecticut | 20 |
44 |
19 |
26 |
80 |
24 |
109 |
109 |
20 |
49 |
26 |
47.82 |
216.70 |
21 |
South Fla. | 20 |
62 |
27 |
8 |
26 |
11 |
20 |
66 |
28 |
28 |
12 |
28.00 |
217.58 |
22 |
Ball St. | 1 |
113 |
21 |
79 |
7 |
60 |
10 |
53 |
12 |
14 |
64 |
39.45 |
217.77 |
23 |
BYU | 10 |
110 |
44 |
53 |
2 |
46 |
12 |
49 |
14 |
24 |
109 |
43.00 |
228.38 |
24 |
Northwestern | 20 |
69 |
41 |
34 |
15 |
44 |
91 |
59 |
26 |
52 |
14 |
42.27 |
231.33 |
25 |
Maryland | 20 |
68 |
65 |
61 |
45 |
72 |
56 |
22 |
34 |
63 |
52 |
50.73 |
237.60 |
26 |
Tulsa | 1 |
115 |
107 |
60 |
1 |
99 |
1 |
49 |
77 |
1 |
83 |
54.00 |
238.96 |
27 |
Air Force | 20 |
86 |
36 |
66 |
24 |
29 |
19 |
7 |
30 |
58 |
75 |
40.91 |
247.93 |
28 |
Oregon | 20 |
82 |
58 |
17 |
71 |
73 |
79 |
38 |
63 |
10 |
59 |
51.82 |
251.25 |
29 |
Western Mich. | 20 |
92 |
75 |
65 |
50 |
81 |
18 |
14 |
62 |
21 |
97 |
54.09 |
265.47 |
30 |
Central Mich. | 20 |
97 |
109 |
46 |
20 |
96 |
26 |
95 |
78 |
39 |
100 |
66.00 |
279.39 |
31 |
LSU | 31 |
15 |
61 |
27 |
54 |
35 |
45 |
77 |
68 |
30 |
24 |
42.45 |
293.54 |
So what human overrides are called for this week? Candidates (those that are around five spots or more off from the major polls):
Possibly too high
- Minnesota
- Utah
- North Carolina
- Georgia Tech
- Connecticut
- Northwestern
Possibly too low
- Southern Cal
- Ball State
- BYU
- Maryland
- Tulsa
- Oregon
- LSU
Possibly out of order
- Oklahoma and Penn State
Current draft ballot, without any interventions yet:
![]() | ||
Rank | Team | Delta |
---|---|---|
1 | Texas | -- |
2 | Alabama | -- |
3 | Texas Tech | ![]() |
4 | Oklahoma | ![]() |
5 | Penn State | -- |
6 | Georgia | ![]() |
7 | Oklahoma State | ![]() |
8 | Florida | ![]() |
9 | Boise State | ![]() |
10 | Southern Cal | ![]() |
11 | Minnesota | ![]() |
12 | Florida State | ![]() |
13 | Ohio State | ![]() |
14 | TCU | -- |
15 | Utah | ![]() |
16 | North Carolina | ![]() |
17 | Michigan State | ![]() |
18 | Missouri | ![]() |
19 | Georgia Tech | ![]() |
20 | Connecticut | ![]() |
21 | South Florida | ![]() |
22 | Ball State | ![]() |
23 | Brigham Young | ![]() |
24 | Northwestern | ![]() |
25 | Maryland | ![]() |
Up to five vetoes of the computer rankings. Go.