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The RTT computer BlogPoll ballot: raw numbers, week nine

By Joel Hollingsworth
This here's the RTT Ready, Fire, Aim BlogPoll computer ballot. For a complete refresher on what we're doing, go here, here, here, and here. You can also hit the "blogpoll" tag below the post for a list of all of the related stories.

Prior tweaks to the system: (1) added experience ratings; (2) adjusted the weighting with a "square root of the sum of the squares." Why? I'll you why: I don't know. (3) revised the way tied teams were ranked; (4) began sorting the win/loss category based on losing percentage to hopefully alleviate the penalty to teams with early byes; (5) (a) adjusted the weighting of the win/loss factor and (b) adjusted the strength of schedule factor by subjecting the NCAA past opposition figures to a strength of conference rating. Conferences were divided into two categories: BCS and non-BCS; and (6) modified the Conference Ratings so that there were three categories instead of just BCS and non-BCS. The new categories are (a) the SEC and the Big12, (b) the other BCS conferences, and (c) the non-BCS conferences.

Tweaks for this week:

  • None. The initial results triggered the need for investigation of certain teams, but did not reveal, to me anyway, any systemic problems. Anyone else see anything bizarre that might necessitate a system tweak this week?
  • The categories again: Win/Loss, Strength of Schedule, Pass Efficiency Defense, Rush Defense, 3rd Down Offense, Total Defense, Pass Efficiency Offense, Experience, Opponents Points Per Game, Total Offense, and 3rd Down Defense. The AVG R column is Average Ranking, and the last column is Weighted Average.
  • The current weighting of the categories: 100, 15, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1. Then tweaked by the square root of the sum of the squares manuever.
  • Current spreadsheet here.

All right, then. The Top 31 (so you can see where some of the teams in the traditional polls ended up in the computer rankings), according to the computer:

Rank
Team
WL
SOS
PED
RD
3DO
TD
PEO
EXP
OPPG
TO
3DD
AVG R
W AVG
1
 Texas
1
3
70
3
3
43
2
116
28
9
47
29.55
76.23
2
 Alabama
1
31
18
2
48
5
47
95
10
60
3
29.09
78.71
3
 Texas Tech
1
30
46
14
4
58
6
68
39
2
22
26.36
79.51
4
 Oklahoma
10
6
33
20
29
54
3
59
50
4
6
24.91
105.74
5
 Penn St.
1
59
3
13
9
8
21
38
3
12
10
16.09
109.66
6
 Georgia
10
2
57
6
33
21
22
90
36
25
37
30.82
111.10
7
 Oklahoma St.
10
10
50
37
22
64
4
45
42
8
46
30.73
113.27
8
 Florida
15
16
9
15
28
13
11
116
6
31
21
25.55
147.73
9
 Boise St.
1
76
2
42
31
19
9
114
4
29
7
30.36
149.58
10
 Southern California
15
40
1
10
18
1
8
72
1
13
4
16.64
157.40
11
 Minnesota
10
57
47
43
76
69
30
112
20
70
28
51.09
165.11
12
 Florida St.
15
52
23
7
13
3
73
53
18
38
1
26.91
171.84
13
 Ohio St.
18
19
8
18
41
9
52
59
8
95
53
34.55
173.88
14
 TCU
9
88
7
1
5
2
58
26
2
34
13
22.27
182.11
15
 Utah
1
100
43
9
38
6
23
14
30
35
5
27.64
187.77
16
 North Carolina
20
28
29
32
30
50
35
72
35
86
63
43.64
197.91
17
 Michigan St.
18
45
24
64
77
56
60
68
37
64
70
53.00
202.46
18
 Missouri
20
4
85
30
7
87
5
32
53
5
86
37.64
202.75
19
 Georgia Tech
20
53
14
19
60
12
36
109
7
72
68
42.73
214.99
20
 Connecticut
20
44
19
26
80
24
109
109
20
49
26
47.82
216.70
21
 South Fla.
20
62
27
8
26
11
20
66
28
28
12
28.00
217.58
22
 Ball St.
1
113
21
79
7
60
10
53
12
14
64
39.45
217.77
23
 BYU
10
110
44
53
2
46
12
49
14
24
109
43.00
228.38
24
 Northwestern
20
69
41
34
15
44
91
59
26
52
14
42.27
231.33
25
 Maryland
20
68
65
61
45
72
56
22
34
63
52
50.73
237.60
26
 Tulsa
1
115
107
60
1
99
1
49
77
1
83
54.00
238.96
27
 Air Force
20
86
36
66
24
29
19
7
30
58
75
40.91
247.93
28
 Oregon
20
82
58
17
71
73
79
38
63
10
59
51.82
251.25
29
 Western Mich.
20
92
75
65
50
81
18
14
62
21
97
54.09
265.47
30
 Central Mich.
20
97
109
46
20
96
26
95
78
39
100
66.00
279.39
31
 LSU
31
15
61
27
54
35
45
77
68
30
24
42.45
293.54

So what human overrides are called for this week? Candidates (those that are around five spots or more off from the major polls):

Possibly too high

  • Minnesota
  • Utah
  • North Carolina
  • Georgia Tech
  • Connecticut
  • Northwestern

Possibly too low

  • Southern Cal
  • Ball State
  • BYU
  • Maryland
  • Tulsa
  • Oregon
  • LSU

Possibly out of order

  • Oklahoma and Penn State

Current draft ballot, without any interventions yet:

Rank Team Delta
1 Texas --
2 Alabama --
3 Texas Tech 1
4 Oklahoma 2
5 Penn State --
6 Georgia 4
7 Oklahoma State 4
8 Florida 1
9 Boise State 2
10 Southern Cal 3
11 Minnesota 10
12 Florida State 10
13 Ohio State 5
14 TCU --
15 Utah 2
16 North Carolina 10
17 Michigan State 9
18 Missouri 5
19 Georgia Tech 3
20 Connecticut 6
21 South Florida 9
22 Ball State 3
23 Brigham Young 1
24 Northwestern 4
25 Maryland 1

Dropped Out: LSU (#15), Pittsburgh (#17), Boston College (#18), Kansas (#25).

Up to five vetoes of the computer rankings. Go.

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