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The RTT computer BlogPoll ballot: raw numbers, week twelve

By Joel Hollingsworth
This here's the RTT Ready, Fire, Aim BlogPoll computer ballot. For a complete refresher on what we're doing, go here, here, here, and here. You can also hit the "blogpoll" tag below the post for a list of all of the related stories.

Prior tweaks to the system: (1) added experience ratings; (2) adjusted the weighting with a "square root of the sum of the squares." Why? I'll you why: I don't know. (3) revised the way tied teams were ranked; (4) began sorting the win/loss category based on losing percentage to hopefully alleviate the penalty to teams with early byes; (5) (a) adjusted the weighting of the win/loss factor and (b) adjusted the strength of schedule factor by subjecting the NCAA past opposition figures to a strength of conference rating. Conferences were divided into two categories: BCS and non-BCS; and (6) modified the Conference Ratings so that there were three categories instead of just BCS and non-BCS. The new categories are (a) the SEC and the Big12, (b) the other BCS conferences, and (c) the non-BCS conferences.

Tweaks for this week:

  • None.
  • The categories again: Win/Loss, Strength of Schedule, Pass Efficiency Defense, Rush Defense, 3rd Down Offense, Total Defense, Pass Efficiency Offense, Experience, Opponents Points Per Game, Total Offense, and 3rd Down Defense. The AVG R column is Average Ranking, and the last column is Weighted Average.
  • The current weighting of the categories: 100, 15, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1. Then tweaked by the square root of the sum of the squares maneuver.
  • Current spreadsheet here.

All right, then. The Top 35, according to the computer:

Rank
Team
WL
SOS
PED
RD
3DO
TD
PEO
EXP
OPPG
TO
3DD
AVG R
W AVG
1
 Texas Tech
1
7
47
20
1
60
8
68
46
2
28
26.18
61.60
2
 Alabama
1
31
6
3
37
3
61
95
6
52
2
27.00
76.81
3
 Texas
6
1
59
4
4
58
3
116
25
9
42
29.73
90.39
4
 Florida
9
4
7
11
16
6
9
116
4
25
9
19.64
93.68
5
 Oklahoma
9
11
28
21
20
55
2
59
57
4
11
25.18
98.07
6
 Southern California
9
49
1
6
24
2
12
72
1
14
6
17.82
124.93
7
 Ohio St.
12
27
14
26
30
13
33
59
7
84
66
33.73
127.17
8
 Penn St.
6
63
2
10
10
4
26
38
5
18
14
17.82
128.61
9
 Georgia
12
2
60
14
44
24
16
90
58
23
54
36.09
129.61
10
 Oklahoma St.
12
19
67
27
19
77
4
45
58
7
47
34.73
137.61
11
 Missouri
12
15
73
40
5
89
6
32
55
6
79
37.45
140.87
12
 Utah
1
91
36
7
21
11
20
14
13
35
10
23.55
169.49
13
 Michigan St.
12
53
12
73
84
48
75
68
25
66
55
51.91
172.14
14
 Boise St.
1
94
3
12
31
12
10
114
2
15
13
27.91
177.64
15
 TCU
12
79
8
1
8
1
67
26
3
31
5
21.91
183.44
16
 Cincinnati
19
42
34
25
106
42
30
59
35
48
12
41.09
206.54
17
 BYU
6
111
42
71
3
54
7
49
21
17
102
43.91
221.09
18
 Ball St.
1
119
22
74
6
49
5
53
9
12
74
38.55
226.45
19
 Pittsburgh
22
47
70
30
56
32
73
77
63
45
62
52.45
234.33
20
 Western Mich.
12
112
54
58
35
87
15
14
43
22
64
46.91
245.17
21
 LSU
26
8
32
15
61
27
76
77
64
39
23
40.73
246.87
22
 Northwestern
23
65
38
44
23
51
87
59
31
64
29
46.73
250.80
23
 North Carolina
26
24
18
66
51
57
32
72
17
93
76
48.36
252.12
24
 Florida St.
26
40
29
23
22
5
79
53
30
43
1
31.91
252.97
25
 Oregon St.
26
46
26
22
48
15
27
12
40
26
4
26.55
254.72
26
 Oregon
23
64
51
37
70
75
81
38
74
13
72
54.36
255.70
27
 Air Force
23
78
39
53
36
35
18
7
22
54
84
40.82
259.79
28
 Miami (Fla.)
26
41
40
19
96
10
89
18
37
100
53
48.09
261.88
29
 Georgia Tech
26
52
21
35
55
14
62
109
11
65
63
46.64
263.78
30
 Boston College
26
56
5
9
67
8
104
68
14
89
25
42.82
266.94
31
 Maryland
26
59
62
67
49
64
64
22
23
71
38
49.55
275.03
32
 Central Mich.
19
101
98
50
11
99
17
95
83
30
77
61.82
275.89
33
 Connecticut
26
60
9
31
95
16
111
109
19
55
17
49.82
276.24
34
 Tulsa
19
116
114
41
1
101
1
49
94
1
90
57.00
296.62
35
 Rice
26
95
97
103
15
115
11
32
112
11
107
65.82
320.67

Shaping up quite nicely, I think. But it's still subject to human override. Candidates (those that are around five spots or more off from the major polls):

Possibly out of order

  • Alabama and Texas Tech
  • Florida and Texas

Possibly too high

  • Western Michigan
  • Florida State

Possibly too low

  • Boise State

Any others that you see?

Current draft ballot, without any interventions yet:

Rank Team Delta
1 Texas Tech --
2 Alabama --
3 Texas --
4 Florida 1
5 Oklahoma 1
6 Southern Cal --
7 Ohio State 2
8 Penn State 1
9 Georgia 1
10 Oklahoma State 2
11 Missouri 2
12 Utah 4
13 Michigan State 1
14 Boise State 3
15 TCU --
16 Cincinnati 3
17 Brigham Young 4
18 Ball State 2
19 Pittsburgh 3
20 Western Michigan 4
21 LSU 5
22 Northwestern 4
23 North Carolina 7
24 Florida State 7
25 Oregon State 1

Dropped Out: Air Force (#18), South Carolina (#23), Virginia Tech (#25).

We'll use up to three vetoes of the computer rankings. Now soliciting suggestions.

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