clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

The RTT computer BlogPoll ballot raw numbers, week ten

By Joel Hollingsworth
This here's the RTT Ready, Fire, Aim BlogPoll computer ballot. For a complete refresher on what we're doing, go here, here, here, and here. You can also hit the "blogpoll" tag below the post for a list of all of the related stories.

I'm posting this early this weekend because I'll be at the Titans game most of the day. I've highlighted some teams that immediately jumped out as needing review, but until the major polls come out I can't do a thorough review of where the computer is more than five off from those polls everyone trusts. Yeah, it's all relative. Anyway, I'll do that later.

Prior tweaks to the system: (1) added experience ratings; (2) adjusted the weighting with a "square root of the sum of the squares." Why? I'll you why: I don't know. (3) revised the way tied teams were ranked; (4) began sorting the win/loss category based on losing percentage to hopefully alleviate the penalty to teams with early byes; (5) (a) adjusted the weighting of the win/loss factor and (b) adjusted the strength of schedule factor by subjecting the NCAA past opposition figures to a strength of conference rating. Conferences were divided into two categories: BCS and non-BCS; and (6) modified the Conference Ratings so that there were three categories instead of just BCS and non-BCS. The new categories are (a) the SEC and the Big12, (b) the other BCS conferences, and (c) the non-BCS conferences.

Tweaks for this week:

  • None. The initial results triggered the need for investigation of certain teams, but did not reveal, to me anyway, any systemic problems. Anyone else see anything bizarre that might necessitate a system tweak this week?
  • The categories again: Win/Loss, Strength of Schedule, Pass Efficiency Defense, Rush Defense, 3rd Down Offense, Total Defense, Pass Efficiency Offense, Experience, Opponents Points Per Game, Total Offense, and 3rd Down Defense. The AVG R column is Average Ranking, and the last column is Weighted Average.
  • The current weighting of the categories: 100, 15, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1. Then tweaked by the square root of the sum of the squares maneuver.
  • Current spreadsheet here.

All right, then. The Top 25, according to the computer:

Rank
Team
WL
SOS
PED
RD
3DO
TD
PEO
EXP
OPPG
TO
3DD
AVG R
W AVG
1
 Texas Tech
1
11
53
10
3
54
9
68
46
2
23
25.45
63.85
2
 Alabama
1
31
14
2
32
4
56
95
6
61
2
27.64
76.02
3
 Oklahoma
8
5
34
35
22
59
4
59
51
3
10
26.36
93.19
4
 Penn St.
1
56
4
11
9
6
18
38
4
11
12
15.45
104.08
5
 Oklahoma St.
8
27
45
36
21
62
2
45
39
7
42
30.36
107.05
6
 Texas
8
1
80
4
4
64
3
116
36
9
55
34.55
112.76
7
 Florida
13
9
10
13
27
16
6
116
5
31
22
24.36
128.79
8
 Boise St.
1
78
2
29
33
12
10
114
2
24
8
28.45
151.28
9
 Ohio St.
16
23
8
14
38
8
52
59
8
97
53
34.18
158.16
10
 TCU
1
86
5
1
6
2
55
26
3
29
7
20.09
159.09
11
 Southern California
13
57
1
5
24
1
7
72
1
10
5
17.82
160.17
12
 Georgia
16
2
76
7
36
30
23
90
53
23
39
35.91
165.15
13
 Missouri
16
8
92
38
5
86
5
32
55
6
79
38.36
174.43
14
 Utah
1
94
42
8
35
7
22
14
18
32
4
25.18
176.64
15
 Georgia Tech
16
55
16
33
62
14
39
109
11
72
70
45.18
188.75
16
 Northwestern
16
59
41
26
25
46
86
59
22
51
25
41.45
192.73
17
 Michigan St.
15
54
24
75
80
60
71
68
37
66
69
56.27
192.86
18
 Minnesota
16
49
51
53
66
65
36
112
20
68
21
50.64
193.53
19
 BYU
8
107
50
52
1
48
8
49
26
17
109
43.18
217.75
20
 Air Force
16
83
26
62
40
22
31
7
17
73
76
41.18
218.31
21
 Ball St.
1
117
18
79
8
57
12
53
13
15
67
40.00
224.29
22
 Tulsa
8
116
107
40
2
85
1
49
69
1
78
50.55
247.30
23
 LSU
26
25
46
17
47
21
53
77
58
33
20
38.45
249.36
24
 North Carolina
26
36
29
32
28
45
33
72
33
88
66
44.36
251.91
25
 Florida St.
26
46
23
18
16
5
74
53
23
37
1
29.27
255.12

So what human overrides are called for this week? Candidates (those that are around five spots or more off from the major polls) (remember, this will be updated later):

Possibly too high

  • Boise State
  • Georgia
  • Minnesota
  • LSU

Possibly too low

  • Texas. Almost certainly. They've beaten Oklahoma and Oklahoma State, so they should at least be above them, dont' you think?
  • Florida
  • Southern Cal

Possibly out of order

  • Texas and their prior opponents.
  • Oklahoma and Penn State.

Current draft ballot, without any interventions yet:

Rank Team Delta
1 Texas Tech 2
2 Alabama --
3 Oklahoma 2
4 Penn State --
5 Oklahoma State 2
6 Texas 5
7 Florida 2
8 Boise State 2
9 Ohio State 3
10 TCU 4
11 Southern Cal 3
12 Georgia 6
13 Missouri 4
14 Utah 1
15 Georgia Tech 9
16 Northwestern 10
17 Michigan State 1
18 Minnesota 5
19 Brigham Young 1
20 Air Force 6
21 Ball State 2
22 Tulsa --
23 LSU 3
24 North Carolina 1
25 Florida State 14

Dropped Out: South Florida (#18), Maryland (#21), Connecticut (#25).

We'll use up to four vetoes of the computer rankings. Now soliciting suggestions.

More From Rocky Top Talk