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The RTT computer BlogPoll ballot: raw numbers, week thirteen

By Joel Hollingsworth
This here's the RTT Ready, Fire, Aim BlogPoll computer ballot. For a complete refresher on what we're doing, go here, here, here, and here. You can also hit the "blogpoll" tag below the post for a list of all of the related stories.

Prior tweaks to the system: (1) added experience ratings; (2) adjusted the weighting with a "square root of the sum of the squares." Why? I'll you why: I don't know. (3) revised the way tied teams were ranked; (4) began sorting the win/loss category based on losing percentage to hopefully alleviate the penalty to teams with early byes; (5) (a) adjusted the weighting of the win/loss factor and (b) adjusted the strength of schedule factor by subjecting the NCAA past opposition figures to a strength of conference rating. Conferences were divided into two categories: BCS and non-BCS; and (6) modified the Conference Ratings so that there were three categories instead of just BCS and non-BCS. The new categories are (a) the SEC and the Big12, (b) the other BCS conferences, and (c) the non-BCS conferences.

Tweaks for this week:

  • None.
  • The categories again: Win/Loss, Strength of Schedule, Pass Efficiency Defense, Rush Defense, 3rd Down Offense, Total Defense, Pass Efficiency Offense, Experience, Opponents Points Per Game, Total Offense, and 3rd Down Defense. The AVG R column is Average Ranking, and the last column is Weighted Average.
  • The current weighting of the categories: 100, 15, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1. Then tweaked by the square root of the sum of the squares maneuver.
  • Current spreadsheet here.

All right, then. The Top 35, according to the computer:

Rank
Team
WL
SOS
PED
RD
3DO
TD
PEO
EXP
OPPG
TO
3DD
AVG R
W AVG
1
 Alabama
1
23
7
3
36
3
60
95
6
58
2
26.73
66.69
2
 Florida
6
6
6
13
12
9
5
116
3
18
18
19.27
71.33
3
 Oklahoma
6
4
32
12
16
56
2
59
54
3
4
22.55
74.19
4
 Texas
6
1
55
4
3
53
3
116
26
8
39
28.55
87.74
5
 Texas Tech
6
5
69
38
4
74
8
68
69
4
42
35.18
98.17
6
 Penn St.
5
55
5
8
6
4
18
38
4
15
14
15.64
111.37
7
 Ohio St.
11
30
12
23
32
10
27
59
7
82
35
29.82
121.01
8
 Southern California
10
53
1
6
25
2
9
72
1
16
6
18.27
136.15
9
 Georgia
14
2
58
15
43
23
16
90
56
24
52
35.73
144.52
10
 Utah
1
80
23
17
23
17
17
14
14
32
12
22.73
148.94
11
 Oklahoma St.
14
18
68
26
20
76
4
45
56
7
45
34.45
152.07
12
 Missouri
14
15
74
37
5
89
7
32
52
5
77
37.00
155.23
13
 TCU
11
72
3
1
7
1
50
26
2
26
5
18.55
166.71
14
 Cincinnati
14
39
37
18
105
37
23
59
30
49
10
38.27
167.04
15
 Boise St.
1
92
2
20
29
16
12
114
5
14
13
28.91
174.50
16
 Florida St.
22
33
20
21
18
7
76
53
19
45
1
28.64
214.26
17
 BYU
11
97
57
64
2
55
13
49
34
17
98
45.18
216.51
18
 Oregon St.
22
42
31
22
51
13
29
12
36
29
7
26.73
219.43
19
 Ball St.
1
118
29
69
9
57
6
53
9
12
79
40.18
225.02
20
 Michigan St.
20
47
33
74
91
61
79
68
41
66
81
60.09
225.10
21
 Northwestern
20
65
35
42
22
50
85
59
24
65
29
45.09
227.73
22
 Georgia Tech
22
48
26
29
57
19
62
109
12
53
54
44.64
228.98
23
 Boston College
22
49
4
7
75
5
104
68
15
95
19
42.09
231.13
24
 Oregon
22
64
51
32
70
73
83
38
73
11
72
53.55
247.89
25
 Western Mich.
14
110
54
52
34
85
15
14
40
22
65
45.91
249.88
26
 Central Mich.
22
76
104
61
10
99
19
95
83
28
73
60.91
270.39
27
 Tulsa
14
119
109
28
1
95
1
49
85
1
82
53.09
273.82
28
 West Virginia
29
58
16
41
53
33
28
53
11
61
71
41.27
289.58
29
 Pittsburgh
29
40
86
24
65
36
73
77
64
56
70
56.36
290.65
30
 Connecticut
29
61
8
27
99
14
110
109
20
60
16
50.27
300.80
31
 Rice
22
105
90
105
13
111
11
32
107
10
105
64.64
304.20
32
 Iowa
32
51
9
10
60
12
47
53
8
51
28
32.82
309.45
33
 Mississippi
34
8
59
9
39
30
31
26
25
39
15
28.64
315.27
34
 South Carolina
34
14
18
35
72
11
80
26
23
96
23
39.27
317.72
35
 LSU
34
9
40
15
74
32
88
77
66
47
25
46.09
319.85

Candidates for human override (those that are around five spots or more off from the major polls):

Possibly out of order

  • Any of the Oklahoma, Texas, Texas Tech rock, paper, scissors scenario, although I think it's fine.
  • Alabama and Florida

Possibly too high

  • Florida State

Possibly too low

  • Southern Cal
  • Utah

Any others that you see?

Current draft ballot, without any interventions yet:

Rank Team Delta
1 Alabama 1
2 Florida 2
3 Oklahoma 2
4 Texas 1
5 Texas Tech 4
6 Penn State 2
7 Ohio State --
8 Southern Cal 2
9 Georgia --
10 Utah 2
11 Oklahoma State 1
12 Missouri 1
13 TCU 2
14 Cincinnati 2
15 Boise State 1
16 Florida State 8
17 Brigham Young --
18 Oregon State 7
19 Ball State 1
20 Michigan State 7
21 Northwestern 1
22 Georgia Tech 4
23 Boston College 3
24 Oregon 2
25 Western Michigan 5

Dropped Out: Pittsburgh (#19), LSU (#21), North Carolina (#23).

We'll use up to two vetoes of the computer rankings. Now soliciting suggestions.

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