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The RTT computer BlogPoll ballot: raw numbers, week eleven

By Joel Hollingsworth
This here's the RTT Ready, Fire, Aim BlogPoll computer ballot. For a complete refresher on what we're doing, go here, here, here, and here. You can also hit the "blogpoll" tag below the post for a list of all of the related stories.

Prior tweaks to the system: (1) added experience ratings; (2) adjusted the weighting with a "square root of the sum of the squares." Why? I'll you why: I don't know. (3) revised the way tied teams were ranked; (4) began sorting the win/loss category based on losing percentage to hopefully alleviate the penalty to teams with early byes; (5) (a) adjusted the weighting of the win/loss factor and (b) adjusted the strength of schedule factor by subjecting the NCAA past opposition figures to a strength of conference rating. Conferences were divided into two categories: BCS and non-BCS; and (6) modified the Conference Ratings so that there were three categories instead of just BCS and non-BCS. The new categories are (a) the SEC and the Big12, (b) the other BCS conferences, and (c) the non-BCS conferences.

Tweaks for this week:

  • None, although I think I'd be comfortable with a head-to-head fix to elimate things like Oklahoma being ranked above Texas when they have identical win/loss numbers and the Longhorns beat the Sooners by ten. Not quite sure how to set that up, though.
  • The categories again: Win/Loss, Strength of Schedule, Pass Efficiency Defense, Rush Defense, 3rd Down Offense, Total Defense, Pass Efficiency Offense, Experience, Opponents Points Per Game, Total Offense, and 3rd Down Defense. The AVG R column is Average Ranking, and the last column is Weighted Average.
  • The current weighting of the categories: 100, 15, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1. Then tweaked by the square root of the sum of the squares maneuver.
  • Current spreadsheet here.

All right, then. The Top 35, according to the computer:

Rank
Team
WL
SOS
PED
RD
3DO
TD
PEO
EXP
OPPG
TO
3DD
AVG R
W AVG
1
 Texas Tech
1
6
46
19
3
57
8
68
48
2
28
26.00
59.85
2
 Alabama
1
27
7
4
37
4
63
95
7
59
2
27.82
72.29
3
 Oklahoma
6
11
30
20
23
51
3
59
56
3
12
24.91
76.64
4
 Texas
6
3
68
6
4
60
2
116
37
9
42
32.09
95.37
5
 Florida
10
9
14
21
21
14
10
116
4
31
22
24.73
104.74
6
 Penn St.
6
57
5
9
9
6
23
38
5
19
25
18.36
118.90
7
 Southern California
10
51
1
3
24
1
12
72
1
12
5
17.45
133.50
8
 Utah
1
77
35
8
45
11
27
14
15
39
11
25.73
147.10
9
 Ohio St.
15
22
10
17
26
7
35
59
6
89
65
31.91
147.36
10
 Georgia
15
2
63
13
35
28
19
90
63
22
47
36.09
153.49
11
 Boise St.
1
80
2
15
33
10
6
114
2
20
6
26.27
153.53
12
 Missouri
15
8
77
46
8
87
5
32
56
6
79
38.09
163.09
13
 Oklahoma St.
15
16
78
32
20
84
4
45
60
7
56
37.91
163.96
14
 Michigan St.
13
56
15
72
79
46
76
68
30
68
51
52.18
180.08
15
 TCU
13
79
8
1
6
2
67
26
3
29
4
21.64
188.95
16
 North Carolina
21
28
24
59
31
54
29
72
21
92
72
45.73
209.13
17
 Florida St.
21
45
29
14
17
5
72
53
26
37
1
29.09
213.24
18
 Air Force
15
89
26
58
32
25
14
7
17
63
78
38.55
218.78
19
 Cincinnati
21
35
34
25
114
43
30
59
38
53
14
42.36
219.68
20
 Ball St.
1
116
18
76
7
48
7
53
9
11
53
36.27
221.26
21
 BYU
6
114
43
50
2
45
9
49
19
17
103
41.55
222.62
22
 Pittsburgh
21
49
71
36
60
32
74
77
62
42
62
53.27
229.12
23
 South Carolina
26
25
12
11
51
3
60
26
10
86
16
29.64
245.43
24
 Western Mich.
15
105
55
57
43
86
17
14
50
23
76
49.18
249.14
25
 Tulsa
10
119
105
37
1
88
1
49
73
1
84
51.64
257.41
26
 Georgia Tech
26
50
19
41
56
16
62
109
12
65
63
47.18
262.98
27
 Northwestern
26
60
49
44
22
58
89
59
39
56
39
49.18
271.89
28
 Minnesota
26
59
52
65
71
70
42
112
22
75
27
56.45
277.80
29
 Oregon
26
65
51
28
71
66
95
38
64
13
54
51.91
278.78
30
 Central Mich.
21
100
104
61
13
98
20
95
81
30
93
65.09
288.97
31
 LSU
32
10
41
23
62
24
68
77
59
33
18
40.64
300.21
32
 Miami (Fla.)
32
36
36
24
97
15
85
18
45
98
63
49.91
309.84
33
 Oregon St.
32
54
25
27
40
17
22
12
45
25
7
27.82
309.99
34
 West Virginia
32
55
16
34
53
23
37
53
11
72
81
42.45
312.40
35
 Virginia Tech
32
30
72
16
80
18
94
105
34
109
30
56.36
312.52

 

So what human overrides are called for this week? Candidates (those that are around five spots or more off from the major polls) (remember, this will be updated later):

Possibly out of order

  • Oklahoma and Texas

Possibly too high

  • Penn State
  • Utah
  • Michigan State
  • North Carolina
  • Florida State
  • Air Force
  • Cincinnati
  • Western Michigan

Possibly too low

  • Florida
  • Southern Cal

Any others that you see?

Current draft ballot, without any interventions yet:

Rank Team Delta
1 Texas Tech --
2 Alabama --
3 Oklahoma 3
4 Texas --
5 Florida --
6 Penn State 3
7 Southern Cal 1
8 Utah 6
9 Ohio State 1
10 Georgia 2
11 Boise State 2
12 Missouri 1
13 Oklahoma State 6
14 Michigan State 4
15 TCU 4
16 North Carolina 4
17 Florida State 8
18 Air Force 4
19 Cincinnati 7
20 Ball State 1
21 Brigham Young 4
22 Pittsburgh 4
23 South Carolina 3
24 Western Michigan 2
25 Virginia Tech 1

Dropped Out: Georgia Tech (#15), Northwestern (#16), Minnesota (#21), Tulsa (#23), LSU (#24).

We'll use up to three vetoes of the computer rankings. Now soliciting suggestions.

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