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The final RTT computer BlogPoll ballot for 2008

By Joel Hollingsworth

This here's the RTT Ready, Fire, Aim BlogPoll computer ballot. For a complete refresher on what we're doing, go here, here, here, and here. You can also hit the "blogpoll" tag below the post for a list of all of the related stories.

Rank
Team
AVG R
W AVG
1
 Florida
18.00
48.04
2
 Texas
26.91
75.50
3
 Alabama
28.64
81.91
4
 Oklahoma
28.18
82.09
5
 Southern California
15.45
88.33
6
 Penn St.
17.27
119.49
7
 Texas Tech
41.09
123.41
8
 Utah
20.27
130.59
9
 Ohio St.
29.09
141.15
10
 Georgia
33.73
142.27
11
 Boise St.
28.73
147.78
12
 TCU
18.55
149.50
13
 Cincinnati
38.09
159.96
14
 Oregon
49.36
189.17
15
 Missouri
42.18
196.02
16
 Mississippi
22.18
197.60
17
 Virginia Tech
45.27
200.45
18
 Florida St.
33.73
206.30
19
 Oregon St.
31.09
208.20
20
 Nebraska
34.36
209.93
21
 Oklahoma St.
43.45
213.51
22
 Pittsburgh
48.82
217.08
23
 West Virginia
39.91
219.53
24
 BYU
46.27
220.52
25
 Ball St.
46.64
221.38
26
 Georgia Tech
52.27
224.39
27
 Iowa
31.09
226.14
28
 Michigan St.
60.18
228.28
29
 California
44.09
231.57
30
 Northwestern
42.45
233.74
31
 Rice
60.09
240.49
32
 Tulsa
46.64
254.72
33
 Western Mich.
52.45
262.52
34
 Boston College
42.82
325.95
35
 LSU
44.55
337.50

Remember, we use this as a starting point for the RTT CBS BlogPoll ballot. Initially the idea was to start the season in total human override mode and then gradually back it off until all of the games had been played at which time we'd let the computer do all of the talking. So the first question to y'all is this: now that we've seen the results, should we do that, or is there something in there that is so wrong that we absolutely need to intervene?

Possibly out of order (blue)

  • Boise State and TCU

Ranked higher than the major polls (red)

  • Alabama
  • Texas Tech
  • Georgia
  • Cincinnatti
  • Missouri
  • Florida State
  • Nebraska
  • Pittsburgh
  • Ball State

Ranked lower than the major polls (green)

  • Utah
  • TCU
  • Oregon
  • Oklahoma State
  • Georgia Tech
  • Iowa
  • Michigan State

So what do y'all think?

Full chart, links to explanations, and revision to the RTT CBS BlogPoll ballot below the jump.

Prior tweaks to the system: (1) added experience ratings; (2) adjusted the weighting with a "square root of the sum of the squares." Why? I'll you why: I don't know. (3) revised the way tied teams were ranked; (4) began sorting the win/loss category based on losing percentage to hopefully alleviate the penalty to teams with early byes; (5) (a) adjusted the weighting of the win/loss factor and (b) adjusted the strength of schedule factor by subjecting the NCAA past opposition figures to a strength of conference rating. Conferences were divided into two categories: BCS and non-BCS; and (6) modified the Conference Ratings so that there were three categories instead of just BCS and non-BCS. The new categories are (a) the SEC and the Big12, (b) the other BCS conferences, and (c) the non-BCS conferences.

Tweaks for this week:

  • None.
  • The categories again: Win/Loss, Strength of Schedule, Pass Efficiency Defense, Rush Defense, 3rd Down Offense, Total Defense, Pass Efficiency Offense, Experience, Opponents Points Per Game, Total Offense, and 3rd Down Defense. The AVG R column is Average Ranking, and the last column is Weighted Average.
  • The current weighting of the categories: 100, 15, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1. Then tweaked by the square root of the sum of the squares maneuver.
  • Current spreadsheet here.

All right, then. The Top 35 with all of the categories, according to the computer:

Rank
Team
WL
SOS
PED
RD
3DO
TD
PEO
EXP
OPPG
TO
3DD
AVG R
W AVG
1
 Florida
2
2
3
15
7
9
4
116
4
15
21
18.00
48.04
2
 Texas
3
3
59
3
3
51
2
116
18
9
29
26.91
75.50
3
 Alabama
6
14
14
2
43
3
65
95
7
63
3
28.64
81.91
4
 Oklahoma
6
1
46
20
9
68
1
59
58
3
39
28.18
82.09
5
 Southern California
3
43
1
5
24
2
6
72
1
11
2
15.45
88.33
6
 Penn St.
9
46
19
8
6
8
19
38
8
14
15
17.27
119.49
7
 Texas Tech
9
7
72
61
4
79
9
68
74
4
65
41.09
123.41
8
 Utah
1
70
20
11
26
11
16
14
12
35
7
20.27
130.59
9
 Ohio St.
14
25
13
18
34
14
30
59
6
76
31
29.09
141.15
10
 Georgia
14
4
47
27
38
22
14
90
59
22
34
33.73
142.27
11
 Boise St.
3
75
2
22
30
20
11
114
3
18
18
28.73
147.78
12
 TCU
9
67
4
1
8
1
57
26
2
24
5
18.55
149.50
13
 Cincinnati
12
48
27
19
103
31
32
59
25
52
11
38.09
159.96
14
 Oregon
14
61
57
23
59
82
60
38
78
7
64
49.36
189.17
15
 Missouri
19
10
80
31
5
98
10
32
69
8
102
42.18
196.02
16
 Mississippi
21
8
49
4
32
19
22
26
20
29
14
22.18
197.60
17
 Virginia Tech
19
34
28
14
71
7
99
105
9
103
9
45.27
200.45
18
 Florida St.
21
27
26
42
23
15
86
53
26
51
1
33.73
206.30
19
 Oregon St.
21
31
32
40
61
23
39
12
47
30
6
31.09
208.20
20
 Nebraska
21
19
82
21
18
55
15
32
80
12
23
34.36
209.93
21
 Oklahoma St.
21
12
74
52
25
93
5
45
76
6
69
43.45
213.51
22
 Pittsburgh
21
30
35
29
94
27
87
77
35
77
25
48.82
217.08
23
 West Virginia
21
52
16
41
40
36
28
53
11
59
82
39.91
219.53
24
 BYU
14
89
64
60
2
59
13
49
39
16
104
46.27
220.52
25
 Ball St.
6
109
38
84
17
69
12
53
29
17
79
46.64
221.38
26
 Georgia Tech
21
42
43
24
84
25
92
109
28
50
57
52.27
224.39
27
 Iowa
21
62
5
9
49
12
46
53
5
53
27
31.09
226.14
28
 Michigan St.
21
39
37
67
98
58
85
68
41
74
74
60.18
228.28
29
 California
21
53
6
25
112
26
72
90
23
47
10
44.09
231.57
30
 Northwestern
21
66
25
34
21
49
77
59
26
61
28
42.45
233.74
31
 Rice
14
90
86
99
10
111
7
32
103
10
99
60.09
240.49
32
 Tulsa
12
113
107
37
1
74
3
49
75
1
41
46.64
254.72
33
 Western Mich.
21
85
67
62
44
87
23
14
63
28
83
52.45
262.52
34
 Boston College
34
37
7
7
86
5
103
68
17
94
13
42.82
325.95
35
 LSU
36
17
42
17
66
32
80
77
56
55
12
44.55
337.50

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