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Computer Numbers Week 5: Increased Strength of Schedule

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These are the computer numbers with the strength of schedule metric increased.  This fixed most of the oddness in the ballot this week, but some still remains.   I think an increase in the importance of win/loss would help in a lot of cases (bump up Boise St., Cincy, Auburn, BYU; bump down Penn State, Ohio State, Arizona, Nebraska, UConn, Oklahoma, West Virginia) but hurt in a few others (bump up Iowa and South Florida; bump down Miami).  If you're up to it, please take a peek across the numbers and see if you think there's a pattern that justifies modifying the weights to a factor.  Remember, we can always just go with human overrides if that's warranted.

Rank Team WL SOS PED RD 3DO TD PEO OPPG TO 3DD W SUM
1 Florida 1.629 -0.357 2.333 0.999 2.361 2.113 2.063 2.124 2.316 1.358 139.635
2 Alabama 1.629 0.004 1.401 1.623 0.644 1.968 1.472 1.199 1.319 1.496 117.899
3 Texas 1.629 -0.098 1.233 2.001 0.931 1.395 0.901 1.089 2.237 2.347 115.761
4 Southern Cal 0.889 0.611 1.619 1.615 -1.371 1.716 0.200 1.950 0.813 1.168 87.723
5 Iowa 1.629 0.581 1.563 0.350 0.380 0.733 -0.213 1.328 -0.262 -0.155 86.730
6 Virginia Tech 0.889 1.891 1.104 -0.033 0.041 0.162 0.742 0.681 -0.029 0.977 84.106
7 TCU 1.629 -1.096 0.964 2.007 0.105 1.698 1.428 1.153 0.701 1.330 82.462
8 LSU 1.629 0.610 1.282 0.469 0.301 0.441 0.469 1.147 -0.900 -0.560 81.149
9 Penn St. 0.889 0.016 0.998 1.139 1.990 1.301 0.097 1.561 0.370 0.758 81.030
10 Ohio St. 0.889 0.589 1.255 1.205 0.116 1.501 0.060 1.535 -0.152 0.121 80.676
11 Kansas 1.629 -0.925 -0.015 1.737 1.438 0.608 1.093 1.315 2.084 1.367 78.840
12 South Fla. 1.629 -1.399 1.423 0.734 0.712 1.341 1.932 1.846 0.546 1.232 74.165
13 Boise St. 1.629 -1.164 1.430 0.795 0.088 1.175 1.795 1.199 0.951 0.758 72.191
14 Cincinnati 1.629 -1.033 0.854 0.716 1.233 0.552 1.558 1.276 1.404 -0.110 71.145
15 Arizona 0.704 0.978 0.679 0.960 0.051 0.954 -0.119 0.409 0.520 -0.554 68.321
16 Nebraska 0.704 -0.140 1.248 0.492 0.872 0.996 1.061 2.157 0.960 0.316 67.675
17 Auburn 1.629 -0.432 0.966 -0.337 0.800 0.094 1.298 -0.018 2.104 -0.114 66.100
18 Connecticut 0.704 0.266 0.457 1.544 0.273 1.814 -0.537 1.121 -0.249 1.795 65.244
19 Wisconsin 1.629 0.052 -0.454 0.223 2.001 -0.194 1.063 -0.122 0.854 -0.583 64.693
20 Miami (FL) 0.704 2.008 -0.468 -0.427 0.496 0.224 1.010 -0.238 -0.136 -0.011 63.974
21 Stanford 0.889 0.557 0.119 0.527 1.129 0.392 0.645 0.888 0.489 0.492 63.783
22 Oklahoma -0.220 0.712 0.740 1.599 -0.083 1.495 0.930 1.930 0.721 0.105 60.971
23 West Virginia 0.704 -0.180 0.572 1.109 1.860 0.282 0.957 -0.335 1.357 -0.381 58.107
24 Oregon 0.889 0.674 1.385 0.236 -1.130 0.853 -0.154 0.784 -0.114 0.632 56.259
25 BYU 0.889 0.012 -0.252 0.209 2.462 0.162 1.394 0.215 0.844 -0.989 55.461
26 Georgia Tech 0.889 0.748 -0.621 0.254 1.062 -0.062 1.499 0.085 0.420 -0.054 54.024
27 North Carolina St. 0.150 -0.341 -0.011 1.570 1.325 1.707 0.920 0.759 0.341 1.326 49.074
28 UCLA 0.704 0.595 1.451 0.856 -1.225 1.061 -0.730 1.056 -1.228 0.711 48.972
29 Wake Forest 0.150 1.284 -0.203 0.161 1.071 -0.139 1.024 0.500 0.458 -0.645 46.511
30 Georgia 0.150 1.663 -0.113 0.368 0.116 -0.121 0.703 -0.536 -0.601 0.695 40.992
31 Utah 0.704 -0.523 1.432 0.069 -0.384 0.854 -0.040 0.603 0.847 2.601 37.504
32 Idaho 0.889 -0.001 -1.092 0.632 1.792 -0.016 0.997 -0.251 0.414 -2.029 36.648
33 Boston College 0.889 -0.309 0.450 0.817 -0.629 0.865 0.242 1.069 -0.796 1.297 35.082
34 Notre Dame 0.889 0.252 -0.405 -0.033 0.043 -0.812 1.996 -0.018 1.432 -0.134 34.942
35 Washington -0.590 3.138 -1.239 -0.883 1.777 -0.907 -0.075 -0.510 -0.007 0.544 34.150

 

Here's a visual look at the top 25.  Note again how close so many teams are to each other.

Week_5_score_distribution_medium