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Computer Numbers Week 5: Increased Strength of Schedule

By David Hooper

These are the computer numbers with the strength of schedule metric increased.  This fixed most of the oddness in the ballot this week, but some still remains.   I think an increase in the importance of win/loss would help in a lot of cases (bump up Boise St., Cincy, Auburn, BYU; bump down Penn State, Ohio State, Arizona, Nebraska, UConn, Oklahoma, West Virginia) but hurt in a few others (bump up Iowa and South Florida; bump down Miami).  If you're up to it, please take a peek across the numbers and see if you think there's a pattern that justifies modifying the weights to a factor.  Remember, we can always just go with human overrides if that's warranted.

Rank Team WL SOS PED RD 3DO TD PEO OPPG TO 3DD W SUM
1 Florida 1.629 -0.357 2.333 0.999 2.361 2.113 2.063 2.124 2.316 1.358 139.635
2 Alabama 1.629 0.004 1.401 1.623 0.644 1.968 1.472 1.199 1.319 1.496 117.899
3 Texas 1.629 -0.098 1.233 2.001 0.931 1.395 0.901 1.089 2.237 2.347 115.761
4 Southern Cal 0.889 0.611 1.619 1.615 -1.371 1.716 0.200 1.950 0.813 1.168 87.723
5 Iowa 1.629 0.581 1.563 0.350 0.380 0.733 -0.213 1.328 -0.262 -0.155 86.730
6 Virginia Tech 0.889 1.891 1.104 -0.033 0.041 0.162 0.742 0.681 -0.029 0.977 84.106
7 TCU 1.629 -1.096 0.964 2.007 0.105 1.698 1.428 1.153 0.701 1.330 82.462
8 LSU 1.629 0.610 1.282 0.469 0.301 0.441 0.469 1.147 -0.900 -0.560 81.149
9 Penn St. 0.889 0.016 0.998 1.139 1.990 1.301 0.097 1.561 0.370 0.758 81.030
10 Ohio St. 0.889 0.589 1.255 1.205 0.116 1.501 0.060 1.535 -0.152 0.121 80.676
11 Kansas 1.629 -0.925 -0.015 1.737 1.438 0.608 1.093 1.315 2.084 1.367 78.840
12 South Fla. 1.629 -1.399 1.423 0.734 0.712 1.341 1.932 1.846 0.546 1.232 74.165
13 Boise St. 1.629 -1.164 1.430 0.795 0.088 1.175 1.795 1.199 0.951 0.758 72.191
14 Cincinnati 1.629 -1.033 0.854 0.716 1.233 0.552 1.558 1.276 1.404 -0.110 71.145
15 Arizona 0.704 0.978 0.679 0.960 0.051 0.954 -0.119 0.409 0.520 -0.554 68.321
16 Nebraska 0.704 -0.140 1.248 0.492 0.872 0.996 1.061 2.157 0.960 0.316 67.675
17 Auburn 1.629 -0.432 0.966 -0.337 0.800 0.094 1.298 -0.018 2.104 -0.114 66.100
18 Connecticut 0.704 0.266 0.457 1.544 0.273 1.814 -0.537 1.121 -0.249 1.795 65.244
19 Wisconsin 1.629 0.052 -0.454 0.223 2.001 -0.194 1.063 -0.122 0.854 -0.583 64.693
20 Miami (FL) 0.704 2.008 -0.468 -0.427 0.496 0.224 1.010 -0.238 -0.136 -0.011 63.974
21 Stanford 0.889 0.557 0.119 0.527 1.129 0.392 0.645 0.888 0.489 0.492 63.783
22 Oklahoma -0.220 0.712 0.740 1.599 -0.083 1.495 0.930 1.930 0.721 0.105 60.971
23 West Virginia 0.704 -0.180 0.572 1.109 1.860 0.282 0.957 -0.335 1.357 -0.381 58.107
24 Oregon 0.889 0.674 1.385 0.236 -1.130 0.853 -0.154 0.784 -0.114 0.632 56.259
25 BYU 0.889 0.012 -0.252 0.209 2.462 0.162 1.394 0.215 0.844 -0.989 55.461
26 Georgia Tech 0.889 0.748 -0.621 0.254 1.062 -0.062 1.499 0.085 0.420 -0.054 54.024
27 North Carolina St. 0.150 -0.341 -0.011 1.570 1.325 1.707 0.920 0.759 0.341 1.326 49.074
28 UCLA 0.704 0.595 1.451 0.856 -1.225 1.061 -0.730 1.056 -1.228 0.711 48.972
29 Wake Forest 0.150 1.284 -0.203 0.161 1.071 -0.139 1.024 0.500 0.458 -0.645 46.511
30 Georgia 0.150 1.663 -0.113 0.368 0.116 -0.121 0.703 -0.536 -0.601 0.695 40.992
31 Utah 0.704 -0.523 1.432 0.069 -0.384 0.854 -0.040 0.603 0.847 2.601 37.504
32 Idaho 0.889 -0.001 -1.092 0.632 1.792 -0.016 0.997 -0.251 0.414 -2.029 36.648
33 Boston College 0.889 -0.309 0.450 0.817 -0.629 0.865 0.242 1.069 -0.796 1.297 35.082
34 Notre Dame 0.889 0.252 -0.405 -0.033 0.043 -0.812 1.996 -0.018 1.432 -0.134 34.942
35 Washington -0.590 3.138 -1.239 -0.883 1.777 -0.907 -0.075 -0.510 -0.007 0.544 34.150

 

Here's a visual look at the top 25.  Note again how close so many teams are to each other.

Week_5_score_distribution_medium

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