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SEC Power Poll Draft Week 9

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Drawing from our BlogPoll ballot numbers, here is the draft for the SEC Power Poll.

  1. Alabama Crimson Tide
  2. Auburn Tigers
  3. LSU Tigers
  4. South Carolina Gamecocks
  5. Mississippi St. Bulldogs
  6. Arkansas Razorbacks
  7. Florida Gators
  8. Georgia Bulldogs
  9. Kentucky Wildcats
  10. Mississippi Rebels
  11. Tennessee Volunteers
  12. Vanderbilt Commodores

Sec_scores_week_9_medium

SEC Team WL SOS PED RD 3DO TD PEO OPPG TO 3DD SCORE
1 Alabama 1.328 0.568 1.897 1.007 0.692 1.329 1.746 1.751 0.863 1.185 123.897
2 Auburn 1.884 0.727 -0.183 0.935 1.314 0.151 2.122 0.147 1.686 0.394 116.706
3 LSU 1.328 0.746 1.191 0.617 0.014 1.572 -1.268 1.326 -0.962 0.205 84.434
4 Mississippi St. 0.895 0.218 0.644 0.959 0.810 0.530 -0.120 1.141 0.009 0.252 67.231
5 South Carolina 0.772 0.494 -1.047 1.358 1.884 0.121 1.549 0.802 0.375 -0.229 66.828
6 Arkansas 0.772 0.327 0.574 -0.310 -0.195 0.634 1.516 0.429 1.555 1.777 55.933
7 Florida 0.216 0.898 0.999 0.551 -0.032 0.905 -0.625 0.700 -0.572 0.057 39.437
8 Georgia -0.587 0.797 -0.667 0.994 0.315 0.779 1.084 0.628 0.086 -0.251 7.910
9 Kentucky -0.587 0.708 0.108 -0.766 0.523 0.301 0.885 -0.727 0.546 -0.104 -8.621
10 Mississippi -0.896 0.701 -1.188 -0.022 -0.420 -0.508 0.156 -1.215 0.404 0.342 -47.449
11 Tennessee -1.452 1.679 0.020 -0.436 -1.303 -0.708 -0.310 -0.689 -0.763 -0.406 -60.475
12 Vanderbilt -1.452 0.874 -0.700 -0.684 -2.604 -0.829 -1.290 -0.334 -1.424 0.184 -98.655

 

The Alabama/Auburn switch will naturally happen again.  Blame Auburn's defense for making this an issue.  Other than that, I'm pretty comfortable with the order of the teams.  I can see swaps involving South Carolina, Mississippi St., or Arkansas, but those are judgment calls.

All in all, I see a fairly mundane week for our vote.

Looking forward, though, we see two rays of hope for the Vols.  First, Vanderbilt is rapidly assuming last place (or near-last) in almost all of the performance metrics.  So long as the Vols don't give up on the year, that becomes a game that is firmly in our favor.  Second, Ole Miss is having struggles that are placing them on near-UT levels.  In fact, if you ignore W/L, their score ends up worse than Tennessee's.  Additionally, Tennessee's 3DO has actually been sorta ok the last few weeks, moving them from 119th in the nation to 110th.  That doesn't sound like a lot, but you have to realize that the final few teams have been so bad at 3DO that their scores are 2 to 3 standard deviations below the average.  Tennessee has improved their 3DO by a full standard deviation, including the first several weeks of the season.  There are definite trends in Tennessee's favor; perhaps a week against Memphis will help them tie things down and really get on the road to recovery.

Assuming our quarterback situation doesn't destroy the locker room.