Anatomy of an NCAA WCBB Bracketology Prejudice


It is now being postulated by Charlie Creme and his ESPN Bracketology that the Big Least might get 10 teams in the NCAA tournament. This seems grossly unfalr to the members of conferences with 10 or 12 teams for the following reasons. 

Bear with me. 

Big East            W-L            GB            PCT            W-L            PCT            STRK

#1 UCONN           16-0            --            1.000            29-1          .967            W17

#12 DePaul          13-3            3            .813            26-5            .839            W1

#7 N Dame           13-3            3            .813            24-6            .800            L1

Rutgers                11-5            5            .688            18-11          .621            W4

#20 Marque          10-6            6            .625            22-7           .759            L1

Louisville              10-6            6            .625          19-11           .633            L1

Syracuse              9-7            7            .563            22-8            .733            W1

#17 Gtown            9-7            7            .563            21-9            .700            L2

St. John's              9-7            7            .563            20-9            .690            L1

W Virginia             8-8            8            .500            22-8            .733            W1

Providence           6-10          10            .375         13-15            .464            W1

Pittsburgh            5-11          11            .313          14-16            .467            W1

South Florida       3-13          13            .188         12-19            .387            L1

Villanova              3-13          13            .188         11-18            .379            W1

Cincinnati            2-14          14            .125            9-19            .321            W1

Seton Hall           1-15          15            .063            8-22            .267            L6


There is talk about this league getting 10 teams into the NCAA tournament and many of us have decried the rankings of some of these teams all season long 

Perhaps it would be edifying to understand the unfair advantage this 16 team conference has over those of us who have teams in 12 or 10 member conferences. 

At first it's clear that it's an incredible advantage to play any of the bottom 6 teams in this league. All of the bottom 6 have losing records In comparison there are only 2 SEC teams with losing records - Ol Miss 10 and 19 and Miss State 13 and 16. Our worst SEC team is better that the bottom two above and Ms State is better than the bottom four. The bottom 6 BEast teams scored 4 wins vs the top 10 teams in over 60 games. Some of those top 10 teams played Seton Hall, Cinncinatti, Pittsburg or Providence twice this season since the 16 game league schedule allows for 2 games vs a single team.  

To take it further 
Pittsburg has one win over the top 10 in the league over W.Va and losses to Dusquene, St Francis, and 12 win 18 loss Minnesota  
Providence has ONE win - a 2 point win over Louisville and they lost to Alabama *our 3rd worst and Florida  
and they lost to Hofstra and St Josephs  
South Florida eeked out a win over GTown but lost to Samford, Nebraska and Morgan State
Villanova failed to win vs any of the top 10 and lost to Delaware, Drexel and St Josephs
Cinncinatti got a final game win over Marquette and lost  to Miami Ohio, Wright State and Dayton 
Seton Hall no top 10 BEast wins and losses to Drexel, Hofstra and Fla Gulf Coast  

So it's clear that these TOP 10 Beast teams get a start with a 6 and 0 Beast record unless they seriously mess up and it's clear that Marquette, WVa and Louisville have some explaining to do along with St John's and Rutgers as NCAA quality teams.

WVA's best win is over IOWA STATE ranked 17 and if you look at their record you will find it difficult to justify their ranking. They also beat a then ranked 25 TCU that is now out of the NCAA it seems. So why is WVA at 22 and 8 in the tournament? They lost to Pittsburg. 
ST John's best win was the first game vs Marist. - So their 20 and 9 record is NCAA bid worthy? BS 
Syracuse best win is over Ohio State and we know Ohio State but 22 - 8 with one win over a questionable Big 10 team is good enough for a bid to the dance?
Louisville's best win is the mystery win over KY. - but they lost to ODU Marist Houston and Providence so at 19 and 11 they get to dance?  
Marquette beat Wisc Green Bay by 3 and lost to Creighton out of conference but they are 22 and 7 with a win over DePaul in conference and a loss to Cinncinatti.  Yet they are ranked 22nd? and dancing.  
and finally 
RUTGERS lost to Cal Temple and Boston College on the way to a 18 and 11 record yet they are in Charlie Creme's bracket. 

Here's my theory. The BEast covers territory from Florida to Mass to Chicago and the cities where they play have lots of papers and writers. There are also a plethora of coaches in a 16 team league with associations with the voting coaches. The more teams in more cities equals more votes. The more coaches with more associations equals more votes.. The votes in the rankings tend to effect the Charlie Creme Bracketology and lest we forget that Bracketology is done in Bristol and it ain't Bristol Tennessee. 

The Big East schedule is a very weak schedule - No home and home with the best teams facing each other on the road and at home. Instead a team my go through their schedule playing the 7 best teams at home and the worst teams on the road - what an incredible advantage. 
No way this situation is fair to teams in a league where they play home and away vs the best teams in their league. Do you see it any other way?

Example of a great BEast schedule is Marquette 
they got ND DePaul, Rutgers, Syracuse WVa St John's and Lousiville AT HOME and still lost to SYR ND and Rutgers. 
Louisville got St Johns, Rutgers Gtown WVa and DePaul at home and ND 5x and Syr on the road losing to all of them  
So is it fair to compare a Big 12 or Big 10 or SEC or Pac 10 team that has to play home and away vs the top teams in their league with a BEast team that only plays one game vs the best in their league and pads their specs with wins over 6 teams with losing records - four of which don't even get to play in the Big Least tournament. What say you? BOGUS or FAIR?

There is much more detailed data included in THIS THREAD on The SUmmiTT message board Several of the least deserving Charlie Creme NCAA Tournament Teams records from the BEast are broken down in detail according to the Real Time RPI.  

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