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Re-weighing expectations: Vols one Vandy win away from bowl eligibility

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Weighing the Vols' chances against their remaining schedule: Week 13.

Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports

Well, we've all come back down to earth after the Missouri game, but we're still just a win against Vandy from a bowl game, so let's take a look at how we feel about that possibility.

11/29/14: Vanderbilt (3-8, 0-7 SEC, NR)

  • Week 1: Lost to Temple, 37-7.
  • Week 2: Lost to Ole Miss, 41-3.
  • Week 3: Beat UMass, 34-31.
  • Week 4: Lost to South Carolina, 48-34.
  • Week 5: Lost to Kentucky, 17-7.
  • Week 6: Lost to Georgia, 44-17.
  • Week 7: Beat Charlie Southern. By a point. 21-20.
  • Week 8: Bye.
  • Week 9: Lost to Missouri, 24-14.
  • Week 10: Beat Old Dominion, 42-28.
  • Week 11: Lost to Florida, 34-10. Sounds about right.
  • Week 12: Bye.
  • Week 13: Lost at #4 Mississippi State, 51-0.
  • Week 14: VOLS.
  • Chances of a Vols win (on a scale from 5-30): 28. I considered moving this down a space or two based on Tennessee falling from the clouds against Missouri, but it was indeed a shrug game and then I saw that Vandy lost 51-0 to Mississippi State. So I'm sticking with 28.
EARLIER PREDICTIONS - VANDERBILT
W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
27 27 24 25 24 27 28 28 28 28

One game to bowl eligibility, kids. Let's do it.

The Vols' chances of winning each of the rest of their games, on a scale from 5-30.

PREDICTIONS
5-30 SCALE W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13
5
6
7
8 Ole Miss (L; 34-3)
9 Ole Miss Alabama (L; 34-20)
10 Alabama Alabama
11
12
13 Alabama
14
15
16
17
18 Missouri Missouri South Carolina South Carolina (W; 45-42)
19 Ole Miss Kentucky Kentucky Missouri Missouri
20 Kentucky Kentucky Kentucky Missouri
21 South Carolina South Carolina South Carolina Missouri (L; 29-21)
22 Missouri
23 Florida (L; 10-9) Missouri Kentucky Kentucky (W; 50-13)
24 Vanderbilt Vanderbilt
25 UTC (W; 45-10) Vanderbilt
26
27 Vanderbilt Vanderbilt
28 UTC Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt
29
30