Re-weighing expectations: Vols one Vandy win away from bowl eligibility

Well, we've all come back down to earth after the Missouri game, but we're still just a win against Vandy from a bowl game, so let's take a look at how we feel about that possibility.

11/29/14: Vanderbilt (3-8, 0-7 SEC, NR)

• Week 1: Lost to Temple, 37-7.
• Week 2: Lost to Ole Miss, 41-3.
• Week 3: Beat UMass, 34-31.
• Week 4: Lost to South Carolina, 48-34.
• Week 5: Lost to Kentucky, 17-7.
• Week 6: Lost to Georgia, 44-17.
• Week 7: Beat Charlie Southern. By a point. 21-20.
• Week 8: Bye.
• Week 9: Lost to Missouri, 24-14.
• Week 10: Beat Old Dominion, 42-28.
• Week 11: Lost to Florida, 34-10. Sounds about right.
• Week 12: Bye.
• Week 13: Lost at #4 Mississippi State, 51-0.
• Week 14: VOLS.
• Chances of a Vols win (on a scale from 5-30): 28. I considered moving this down a space or two based on Tennessee falling from the clouds against Missouri, but it was indeed a shrug game and then I saw that Vandy lost 51-0 to Mississippi State. So I'm sticking with 28.
  

One game to bowl eligibility, kids. Let's do it.

The Vols' chances of winning each of the rest of their games, on a scale from 5-30.