Win Totals, Probabilities, Percentages, Oh My!

Who said message boards were a waste of time?  Sometimes they provide you with just the answer you're looking for.  Here is what I was looking for: I wanted to be able to go through UT's schedule, assign a likelihood of winning to each individual game -- for example, I'm 99% sure we'll beat Chattanooga, and slightly less sure that we'll beat Alabama -- and then, with these numbers in hand, find a way to figure out the corresponding percentages for achieving certain win totals (i.e., given my numbers, what are the chances that we win 7 games?  8 games?  etc.)

I knew this could be done, but I didn't know how to do it.  And like a previous instance when I wanted to know how to do some sports-related numbers crunching, I wasn't bashful about asking, and it turned that out somebody over at 8thmaxim.com did know how to do it, and the end result is that we now have a fancy schmancy online calculator to do the heavy lifting for us.  WooHoo!  Let's make like cool kids and play with our calculators. Here is your assignment:

1)  Go through the 2014 football schedule and assign a likelihood of winning to each game.¹

2)  Click on THIS LINK.  Type in 12 (for 12 regular season games).  Hit enter.

3)  Type your percentages from step 1 into the boxes (e.g., for 50%, type .50).  Hit enter.

4)  Copy and paste your results into the comments.

5)  ???

6)  Profit!

Vol Miscellany

• Josh Richardson is the unquestioned leader of next year's squeaky Vols.
• Coach Tyndall's best recruiting job was getting Robert Hubbs back in the fold.
• It's weird that UT's athletic department is strapped for cash considering the ridiculous amounts of revenue coming in.
• Michael Palardy signs with the Oakland Raiders.  California knows how to Palardy.  Yes they do.

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^{1. If you don't think in terms of probabilities, then just predict a final score for each game, and use the below table for your probabilities.↩}