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RTT Staff Picks: Ohio

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Will the Vols cover a four-touchdown spread when the Ohio Bobcats come to town? For the first time this season, our staff has no clear consensus.

Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports

A +4 turnover margin and a few big plays (mostly on the ground) from Josh Dobbs were enough for the Vols to coast to a 45-24 win over Virginia Tech last week in Bristol, despite a nervy first quarter. It was also enough to return six of our pickers to .500 against the spread. Closest to the Pin goes to Trey, whose 34-13 prediction hit the margin dead on and was 22 off on the total. However, he was bested in the comments by yrekacavol, whose 49-17 pick was 11 off the margin but only three off the total. This week, we turn our attention to the MAC, whose Ohio Bobcats are making the trek to Knoxville in the last game before Florida. Will the Vols be able to put away their second mid-major of the year, or will App State Light give Tennessee the same trouble that the genuine article did in week one? To the picks!

Incipient (2-0 straight up, 1-1 against the spread): Sandwiched between a game that had been hyped for three years and a game with eleven years of weight bearing down on it is a home contest with Ohio University. It'd be tough for any team to fully focus in this situation, and unfortunately for the Vols, Ohio isn't in the North Texas and Western Carolina category of sleepwalkable. In fact, they look like a lesser version of App State--the team that beat them on a last second field goal in their bowl game. They run the ball pretty well, and their defensive issues are mostly on the back-end, where the Vols have had trouble taking advantage. The Bobcats eviscerated Kansas in the trenches last week, so if Tennessee is looking for an improvement in their line play this week, they'll have about as sturdy of a challenge as you can expect from a MAC outfit. Expect this one to be closer than it should be, but not close enough to scare Vols fans the way the Mountaineers and Hokies did. Tennessee 31 Ohio 20

Will (2-0 straight up, 1-1 against the spread): I have some low-grade anxiety about this game, but then again I feel like we've all had some low-grade anxiety about this team since the second quarter of the first game. I agree the Vols will need to throw the ball against Ohio and I agree we probably still won't come out like gangbusters and be aggressive (b-e aggressive). But one of the things I have far less anxiety over is Tennessee's defense. Even if the offense beats its head against Ohio's wall for most of the day, I don't see Ohio's offense doing much to make a difference. Tennessee 27 Ohio 7

Joel (2-0 straight up, 0-2 against the spread): Tennessee 42 Ohio 24

Chris (2-0 straight up, 0-2 against the spread): Last week, I predicted a lackluster win that wouldn't really make anyone happy. The final score wasn't even close. Why mess with a good thing? Tennessee 24 Ohio 13

Hunter (2-0 straight up, 1-1 against the spread): How bad is Ohio's defense? The Bobcats gave up 38 points in regulation to Texas State (#94 in offensive S&P+) and 21 points to Kansas (#111 in offensive S&P+), the worst major conference team for several years running. Sure, the Vols could fall all over themselves looking forward to the Gators, but even that might not be enough to prevent Tennessee from covering the spread. Tennessee 38 Ohio 3

Volundore (2-0 straight up, 1-1 against the spread)You'll forgive me for being a bit less sanguine about our ability to score than Hunter, but a noon start against a MAC team the week before Florida has "sluggish" and "vanilla" written all over it. I'm not expecting the offense to blow me away. The defense? They'd better look alive. Ohio is currently top 40 in rush yards per game (12th), pass yards per game (35th) and total yards per game (12th). Yes, that's a function of the competition, but the Bobcats will score a few times, especially if UT struggles to get consistent LB play. The Vols aren't in any danger of losing the game (note: I also said this about APP STATE), but be ready for some frustration and stay far away from any hypotheticals involving the Big Orange. Tennessee 34 Ohio 17

Justin (2-0 straight up, 1-1 against the spread): Fellas, fellas, fellas - what's all these scores I'm seeing in the 30's??? Ohio gave up 38 to Texas State in regulation (in an eventual 56-54 OT loss).

Texas State.


Saturday's game is a beatdown waiting to happen. This is the game where Quinten Dormady and John Kelly replace the first-string with 'Enter Sandman' blasting over the PA, because by then it will be nighty-night time for the Bobcats.

The Vols are topping 40 points. In fact, I'll be bold and up the ante, harnessing my inner Price is Right fan, saying "1 dollar, Bob" to trump contestant row.

Tennessee 41 Ohio 10

Trey (2-0 straight up, 1-1 against the spread): So here's a crazy stat: against Kansas, Ohio ran 93 plays; The Jayhawks ran 45. Some other mildly interesting stats:

Over two games Ohio has:
- Allowed 355 yards on kick returns
- Accrued 198 yards in penalties
- Gone 0-7 in red zone defense
- Allowed opposing QBs a 153.37 passer rating
Keep in mind one of these games was Kansas. I feel like the danger with laying the points here is more Butch's historical disinterest in running up the score than getting that much on the board.

The Bobcats' strength lies in their interior run defense; I honestly expect the Vols to run straight at it. To reiterate: this is the same offense we had last year. All the same guys. In some ways this is a pivotal game- right now, looking over the last 15 games, Appalachian State looks like the outlier. If the Mountaineers' strategy of using shifts and multiple fronts to confuse Butch's (already complicated-looking) man and power blocking schemes remains effective, we could be in for some major disappointments this season. On the other hand, if Tennessee's line has indeed turned a corner and can build on last Saturday, look out. Get the run game moving early- ::fire emoji::
I DONT EVEN NEED TO DRINK THE KOOLAID NO MORE IM LIVING IN AN ORANGE PINEAPPLE UNDER THE SEA. Tennessee 49 Ohio 17

Rocky Top Talk Staff Average (2-0 straight up, 1-1 against the spread): Tennessee 36 Ohio 14

Vegas: Tennessee -27.5. Over/under 58. Tennessee 43 Ohio 15